Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2014/2015

Arlesey

2 - 1

Wingate & Finchley

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Arlesey advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Arlesey

Draws

90%

Wingate & Finchley

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Wingate & Finchley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Wingate & Finchley carry the better recent record into this one.
90% — that's where the model lands on Wingate & Finchley taking it.
Wingate & Finchley arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Arlesey, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Arlesey Clean Sheet 20%

Wingate & Finchley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Arlesey	Wingate & Finchley
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	5	8
Draws	5	6
Losses	20	16
Goals Scored	0	1.25
Goals Conceded	0	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2014 FA Trophy

Arlesey vs Wingate & Finchley

2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arlesey 10 / 100

Wingate & Finchley 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Arlesey Wingate & Finchley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIN Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Wingate & Finchley conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Wingate & Finchley lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Arlesey scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Wingate & Finchley

0 Goals Scored 1.25

0 Goals Conceded 1.88

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Arlesey

(Home)

30 Aug

Eynesbury Rovers

3 : 1

Arlesey

15 Jul

Arlesey

0 : 4

Hendon

04 Sept

Arlesey

0 : 5

Bowers & Pitsea

07 Sept

Hadley

3 : 2

Arlesey

28 Oct

Needham Market

3 : 1

Arlesey

Page 1 of 6

Wingate & Finchley

(Away)

14 Jul

Kingstonian

3 : 0

Wingate & Finchley

25 Apr

Wingate & Finchley

0 : 2

Aveley

18 Apr

Lewes

1 : 1

Wingate & Finchley

11 Apr

Chatham

4 : 0

Wingate & Finchley

06 Apr

Wingate & Finchley

2 : 0

St. Albans

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

Quarter-finals

Chasetown5

Norton United0

Sutton Coldfield Town0

Newcastle Town2

Grantham Town-

TBD-

Kidsgrove Athletic3

Loughborough Dynamo6

Spennymoor3

Harrogate Railway2

Lancaster2

Bamber Bridge6

Spalding United6

Soham1

Bedworth United2

Leek Town5

Rushall-

TBD-

Cambridge City-

Stafford1

Rugby0

St Ives Town0

Stratford1

Blyth Spartans-

TBD-

Farsley-

Matlock-

TBD-

Halesowen-

Neots-

TBD-

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive)-

Scarborough Athletic-

TBD-

Radcliffe0

Darlington FC2

Curzon Ashton-

TBD-

Kendal1

Northwich Victoria2

Stamford-

TBD-

Barwell-

Witton Albion-

TBD-

Stocksbridge3

Sheffield FC4

Clitheroe3

Droylsden2

TBD-

Workington-

Market Drayton5

Rainworth2

TBD-

King’s Lynn-

Stourbridge-

TBD-

Carlton Town-

Redditch-

TBD-

Corby-

Trafford-

TBD-

Brighouse Town0

Ossett Town1

Gresley2

Tividale0

Daventry0

Romulus2

Prescot Cables2

Salford1

Burscough0

Goole1

United of Manchester-

TBD-

Brigg Town2

Padiham4

Ashton United-

TBD-

Buxton-

Nantwich-

TBD-

Skelmersdale-

Whitby-

TBD-

Ramsbottom Utd-

Mickleover4

Coalville Town1

Lincoln Utd.1

Kettering2

Mossley AFC2

Warrington Town1

Ossett Albion1

New Mills2

Evesham-

TBD-

Banbury-

Frickley-

TBD-

Marine-

Hereford-

TBD-

Cinderford Town2

AFC Totton4

Bishops Cleeve-

TBD-

Clevedon0

Mangotsfield3

FC Witham Town-

TBD-

Potters3

Royston Town6

Egham Town2

Bridgwater United1

TBD-

Truro-

Dereham2

Hanwell Town1

TBD-

Enfield Town-

Tiverton2

Wantage0

Bashley0

Sholing1

Weymouth-

TBD-

Larkhall2

Shortwood4

Hitchin-

TBD-

Burnham FC-

Maidstone-

TBD-

Needham Market1

Walton & Hersham3

Sudbury3

Whitstable Town1

TBD-

Bognor Regis-

Metropolitan Police-

TBD-

Billericay-

Chalfont St Peter2

AFC Hayes1

TBD-

Dulwich Hamlet-

Barkingside-

TBD-

Kingstonian-

Ware4

Great Wakering0

Sittingbourne2

Horsham FC6

Peacehaven & Telscombe-

TBD-

East Grinstead Town1

Walton Casuals6

Three Bridges4

Carshalton1

Aylesbury United2

Thamesmead3

Lewes-

TBD-

Wroxham2

Harlow5

South Park5

Cheshunt1

Herne Bay3

Heybridge6

Leiston-

TBD-

Corinthian-Casuals4

Leighton Town6

Fleet Town2

Swindon Supermarine1

TBD-

Paulton Rovers-

Burgess Hill1

Aveley0

TBD-

Chesham-

Thurrock4

Tilbury3

Ramsgate1

Folkestone4

Slough Town-

TBD-

Margate-

Cirencester-

TBD-

Taunton Town1

Merthyr Town2

Brentwood3

Redhill2

TBD-

Biggleswade Town-

North Leigh2

Yate1

TBD-

Poole Town-

Uxbridge4

Romford3

Maldon & Tiptree0

Hythe3

Didcot3

Marlow1

TBD-

Bideford-

Bedford4

Chipstead3

Burnham Ramblers1

Brightlingsea5

Frome Town-

TBD-

Chippenham Town-

Whyteleafe2

Redbridge1

TBD-

Dunstable Town-

Leatherhead-

TBD-

Canvey Island-

Hornchurch-

TBD-

Harrow Borough-

Aylesbury Vale2

Tooting & Mitcham1

TBD-

Merstham-

Histon-

TBD-

Belper Town-

Faversham4

Beaconsfield Town0

Hastings0

Cray Wanderers2

Hungerford-

TBD-

East Thurrock Utd-

Wingate & Finchley-

TBD-

Arlesey-

Hendon-

TBD-

Bury Town-

Chatham1

North Greenford Utd.0

TBD-

Worthing FC-

Tonbridge-

TBD-

VCD Athletic-

Hampton & Richmond-

TBD-

Grays-

Wimborne3

Godalming Town2

TBD-

Dorchester-

Guernsey FC4

Barton0

Waltham Abbey1

Northwood3

TBD-

Semi-finals

Chasetown2

Newcastle Town1

Grantham Town1

Loughborough Dynamo3

Spennymoor3

Bamber Bridge1

Spalding United3

Leek Town4

Rushall2

Cambridge City0

Stafford0

Stratford1

Blyth Spartans2

Farsley0

Matlock1

Halesowen5

Neots2

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive)1

Scarborough Athletic0

Darlington FC4

Curzon Ashton1

Northwich Victoria0

Stamford0

Barwell1

Witton Albion1

Sheffield FC0

Clitheroe0

Workington2

Market Drayton3

King’s Lynn7

Stourbridge5

Carlton Town3

Redditch1

Corby0

Trafford5

Ossett Town2

Gresley3

Romulus1

Prescot Cables2

Goole4

United of Manchester2

Padiham0

Ashton United0

Buxton2

Nantwich2

Skelmersdale0

Whitby1

Ramsbottom Utd2

Mickleover3

Kettering2

Mossley AFC2

New Mills3

Evesham2

Banbury3

Frickley0

Marine2

Hereford2

AFC Totton1

Bishops Cleeve1

Mangotsfield5

FC Witham Town2

Royston Town1

Egham Town0

Truro3

Dereham1

Enfield Town0

Tiverton0

Sholing1

Weymouth1

Shortwood0

Hitchin2

Burnham FC4

Maidstone3

Walton & Hersham2

Sudbury4

Bognor Regis3

Metropolitan Police1

Billericay0

Chalfont St Peter0

Dulwich Hamlet3

Barkingside3

Kingstonian1

Ware0

Horsham FC1

Peacehaven & Telscombe4

Walton Casuals2

Three Bridges1

Thamesmead3

Lewes1

Harlow0

South Park1

Heybridge4

Leiston7

Leighton Town4

Fleet Town0

Paulton Rovers3

Burgess Hill2

Chesham0

Thurrock2

Folkestone3

Slough Town2

Margate0

Cirencester0

Merthyr Town2

Brentwood3

Biggleswade Town4

North Leigh1

Poole Town3

Uxbridge6

Hythe1

Didcot5

Bideford4

Bedford4

Brightlingsea0

Frome Town1

Chippenham Town3

Whyteleafe3

Dunstable Town1

Leatherhead4

Canvey Island3

Hornchurch2

Harrow Borough0

Aylesbury Vale1

Merstham2

Histon3

Belper Town2

Faversham0

Cray Wanderers3

Hungerford3

East Thurrock Utd5

Wingate & Finchley1

Arlesey2

Hendon3

Bury Town1

Chatham1

Worthing FC2

Tonbridge2

VCD Athletic0

Hampton & Richmond0

Grays3

Wimborne3

Dorchester1

Guernsey FC2

Northwood3

TBD-

Stage 6

TBD-

Stage 5

TBD-

Stage 4

TBD-

Stage 3

TBD-

Stage 2

TBD-

Stage 1

TBD-

Final

Chasetown4

Loughborough Dynamo1

Spennymoor4

Leek Town3

Rushall5

Stratford0

Blyth Spartans1

Halesowen3

Neots3

Darlington FC1

Curzon Ashton1

Barwell2

Witton Albion3

Workington6

King’s Lynn3

Stourbridge1

Redditch5

Trafford2

Gresley2

Goole0

United of Manchester2

Buxton0

Nantwich1

Ramsbottom Utd3

Mickleover3

New Mills1

Banbury3

Marine2

Hereford2

Mangotsfield0

FC Witham Town0

Truro1

Dereham0

Sholing2

Weymouth1

Burnham FC0

Maidstone0

Sudbury2

Metropolitan Police2

Dulwich Hamlet0

Barkingside1

Horsham FC3

Peacehaven & Telscombe4

Thamesmead3

Lewes4

Heybridge3

Leiston3

Paulton Rovers2

Burgess Hill1

Folkestone0

Slough Town3

Merthyr Town4

Biggleswade Town1

Poole Town2

Uxbridge1

Didcot2

Bedford2

Chippenham Town1

Whyteleafe1

Leatherhead4

Hornchurch4

Merstham2

Histon0

Cray Wanderers2

East Thurrock Utd6

Arlesey5

Hendon4

Worthing FC0

Tonbridge2

Grays0

Wimborne2

Northwood1

TBD-