Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Armagh vs Drumaness

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Garland A.
46' Event
Doyle R.
74' Event
Sharvin J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-4. This leg finished 1-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Armagh
30%
Draws
47%
Drumaness
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Drumaness

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Armagh haven't matched Drumaness's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Drumaness arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Drumaness, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Armagh Clean Sheet 10%
Drumaness Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Armagh Drumaness
Matches Played 28 22
Wins 0 10
Draws 8 0
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 0.57 1.59
Goals Conceded 3.18 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Irish Cup
Armagh vs Drumaness
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Armagh Compare

Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Drumaness Compare

Top Goalscorer Garland A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Doyle R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Armagh 29 / 100
Drumaness 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Armagh Drumaness

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Armagh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Drumaness has conceded goals in 86% of their last 21 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Armagh stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Drumaness registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Armagh VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Armagh

(Home)
19 Sept
Loughgall
0 : 0
Armagh
12 Sept
Armagh
3 : 5
Institute
04 Sept
Newry City
2 : 2
Armagh
28 Aug
Moyola
1 : 0
Armagh
22 Aug
Armagh
2 : 2
Glenavon
Page 1 of 6

Drumaness

(Away)
17 Feb
Glentoran
5 : 0
Drumaness
10 Jan
Armagh
1 : 4
Drumaness
21 Nov
Newry City
1 : 2
Drumaness
25 Nov
Ballymacash
3 : 1
Drumaness
17 Aug
Newtowne FC
:
Drumaness
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
TBD -
Loughgall -
Wakehurst 2
Knockbreda 4
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Newbuildings 1
Moyola 2
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Comber Rec 3
Hanover 1
Ballymacash 4
Willowbank 0
Strabane Athletic 2
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Glentoran -
Armagh -
TBD -
Newry City 1
Drumaness 2
Lisburn Distillery 4
Finaghy FC 2
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Limavady -
TBD -
Lisburn Rangers 5
Dergview 4
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/16-finals
Loughgall 2
Knockbreda 0
Ballinamallard 0
Institute 3
Cliftonville 3
Dundela 0
Glenavon 4
Newington FC 2
Portadown 4
Annagh 2
Dungannon 3
Ards 0
Moyola 2
Harland & Wolff 4
Comber Rec 0
Ballymacash 3
Strabane Athletic 0
Glentoran 4
Armagh 1
Drumaness 4
Lisburn Distillery 3
Warrenpoint 4
Ballymena 1
Larne 2
Limavady 4
Lisburn Rangers 1
Linfield 1
Bangor FC 0
Carrick Rangers 5
Queens University 1
Coleraine 4
Crusaders 0
1/8-finals
Loughgall 2
Institute 1
Cliftonville 2
Glenavon 1
Portadown 1
Dungannon 2
Harland & Wolff 3
Ballymacash 0
Glentoran 5
Drumaness 0
Warrenpoint 0
Larne 2
Limavady 1
Linfield 0
Carrick Rangers 1
Coleraine 4
Quarter-finals
Loughgall 0
Cliftonville 3
Dungannon 3
Harland & Wolff 0
Glentoran 1
Larne 2
Limavady 0
Coleraine 2
Semi-finals
Cliftonville 1
Dungannon 2
Larne 1
Coleraine 2
Final
Dungannon 2
Coleraine 3