Sport Picks

Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2014/2015

Armagh

3 - 0

Newtowne FC

Our Tip

Match Events

28'

Hoey A.

40'

Boyle G.

80'

Havern M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Armagh advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Armagh

30%

Draws

52%

Newtowne FC

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Newtowne FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence

Newtowne FC carry the better recent record into this one.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
Newtowne FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Armagh, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Armagh Clean Sheet 11%

Newtowne FC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Armagh	Newtowne FC
Matches Played	30	16
Wins	1	10
Draws	9	0
Losses	20	6
Goals Scored	0.63	2.38
Goals Conceded	2.93	1.69
Expected Goals (xG)	0.85	1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2015 Irish Cup

Armagh vs Newtowne FC

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Armagh Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoey A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Boyle G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.65

Avg xA / game 0.42

Newtowne FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65

Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Armagh 35 / 100

Newtowne FC 21 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Armagh Newtowne FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newtowne FC Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newtowne FC let in goals in 87% of their last 15 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Armagh stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Armagh's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Armagh VS -

0.5 Goals Scored 0

2.63 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

50% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Armagh

(Home)

02 Oct

Strabane Athletic

0 : 0

Armagh

26 Sept

Armagh

0 : 2

Dundela

19 Sept

Loughgall

0 : 0

Armagh

12 Sept

Armagh

3 : 5

Institute

04 Sept

Newry City

2 : 2

Armagh

Page 1 of 6

Newtowne FC

(Away)

28 Sept

Newtowne FC

0 : 2

Newington FC

17 Aug

Newtowne FC

Drumaness

03 Nov

Newtowne FC

1 : 2

Rosemount Rec

29 Sept

Newtowne FC

1 : 0

Ballynahinch Olympic

18 Aug

Newtowne FC

6 : 3

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys

Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Crusaders -

TBD -

Queens University -

TBD -

Newington FC -

Brantwood 2

Drumaness 1

TBD -

Coagh Utd -

Lurgan Celtic -

TBD -

Bangor FC -

Institute -

TBD -

Tandragee 2

Banbridge Rangers 0

TBD -

Loughgall -

Larne -

TBD -

Dergview -

Foundry 6

St. Marys 1

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Banbridge -

TBD -

Ards -

Newtowne FC 5

East Belfast 3

U. U. Jordanstown 0

Crumlin United 3

Shankill 2

Abbey Villa 1

TBD -

Armagh -

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Donegal -

Bangor Old Boys 2

Rathfriland Rangers 1

TBD -

Annagh -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Harland & Wolff -

TBD -

Dollingstown -

Wakehurst -

TBD -

Oxford Stars 2

Derriaghy 4

Moyola -

TBD -

Glebe -

TBD -

Glenavon -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Sport & Leisure -

TBD -

Lisburn Rangers 2

Ards Rangers 7

Crumlin Star 2

Immaculata 0

TBD -

Lisburn Distillery -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portadown -

TBD -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

PSNI -

Dundela -

TBD -

Ballymoney -

Newry City 4

Hanover 0

TBD -

Portstewart -

Warrenpoint -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Tobermore -

TBD -

Limavady -

TBD -

Linfield -

1/32-finals

Crusaders -

TBD -

Queens University 2

Newington FC 3

Brantwood 2

Coagh Utd 0

Lurgan Celtic 1

Bangor FC 2

Institute -

TBD -

Tandragee 2

Loughgall 6

Larne 1

Dergview 0

Foundry 1

Carrick Rangers 4

Glentoran -

TBD -

Banbridge 1

Ards 4

Newtowne FC 4

Crumlin United 1

Shankill 0

Armagh 2

Ballyclare 3

Donegal 2

Bangor Old Boys 0

Annagh 3

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Harland & Wolff 2

Dollingstown 0

Wakehurst 2

Derriaghy 3

Moyola 3

Glebe 2

TBD -

Glenavon -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Sport & Leisure 2

Ards Rangers 6

Crumlin Star 1

Lisburn Distillery 0

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portadown -

TBD -

Knockbreda 1

PSNI 2

Dundela 4

Ballymoney 1

Newry City 1

Portstewart 2

Warrenpoint -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Tobermore 3

Limavady 1

TBD -

Linfield -

1/16-finals

Crusaders 6

Newington FC 0

Brantwood 0

Bangor FC 4

Institute 5

Loughgall 1

Larne 1

Carrick Rangers 2

Glentoran 2

Ards 0

Newtowne FC 0

Armagh 3

Ballyclare 3

Annagh 1

Ballinamallard 2

Dungannon 4

Harland & Wolff 2

Derriaghy 0

Moyola 2

Glenavon 3

Cliftonville 6

Ards Rangers 0

Crumlin Star 0

Ballymena 4

Portadown 2

PSNI 1

Dundela 2

Portstewart 3

Warrenpoint 3

Coleraine 1

Tobermore 0

Linfield 2

1/8-finals

Crusaders 2

Bangor FC 0

Institute 1

Carrick Rangers 3

Glentoran 4

Armagh 1

Ballyclare 0

Dungannon 1

Harland & Wolff 2

Glenavon 0

Cliftonville 1

Ballymena 2

Portadown 2

Portstewart 0

Warrenpoint 0

Linfield 5

Quarter-finals

Crusaders 4

Carrick Rangers 1

Glentoran 3

Dungannon 0

Harland & Wolff 2

Ballymena 3

Portadown 3

Linfield 2

Semi-finals

Crusaders 0

Glentoran 1

Ballymena 1

Portadown 3

Final

Glentoran 1

Portadown 0

Armagh vs Newtowne FC

Northern Ireland

Armagh

Newtowne FC

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Armagh Compare

Newtowne FC Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Armagh

Newtowne FC

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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