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Armagh vs Shankill

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Armagh advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Armagh
20%
Draws
60%
Shankill
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shankill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shankill come out ahead of Armagh on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Armagh's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Shankill arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Armagh, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Armagh Clean Sheet 10%
Shankill Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Armagh Shankill
Matches Played 33 19
Wins 3 10
Draws 7 1
Losses 23 8
Goals Scored 0.79 1.79
Goals Conceded 2.88 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2014 Irish Cup
Armagh vs Shankill
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Armagh 38 / 100
Shankill 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Armagh Shankill

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Armagh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Shankill conceded in 84% of 19 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: Shankill has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Armagh scored in 48% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Armagh VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
3.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Armagh

(Home)
22 Aug
Armagh
2 : 2
Glenavon
15 Aug
Harland & Wolff
1 : 0
Armagh
11 Aug
Warrenpoint
2 : 0
Armagh
08 Aug
Armagh
1 : 1
Queens University
10 Jul
Armagh
0 : 1
Cliftonville
Page 1 of 7

Shankill

(Away)
28 Sept
Shankill
1 : 4
Lisburn Rangers
03 Nov
Shankill
2 : 4
Lisburn Distillery
29 Sept
Shankill
2 : 1
Bangor Old Boys
02 Dec
Shankill
0 : 4
Crumlin Star
04 Nov
Hanover
2 : 3
Shankill
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Brantwood 2
Drumaness 1
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tandragee 2
Banbridge Rangers 0
TBD -
Loughgall -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Foundry 6
St. Marys 1
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Newtowne FC 5
East Belfast 3
U. U. Jordanstown 0
Crumlin United 3
Shankill 2
Abbey Villa 1
TBD -
Armagh -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
Bangor Old Boys 2
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Annagh -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Wakehurst -
TBD -
Oxford Stars 2
Derriaghy 4
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
Lisburn Rangers 2
Ards Rangers 7
Crumlin Star 2
Immaculata 0
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Newry City 4
Hanover 0
TBD -
Portstewart -
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Tobermore -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
1/32-finals
Crusaders -
TBD -
Queens University 2
Newington FC 3
Brantwood 2
Coagh Utd 0
Lurgan Celtic 1
Bangor FC 2
Institute -
TBD -
Tandragee 2
Loughgall 6
Larne 1
Dergview 0
Foundry 1
Carrick Rangers 4
Glentoran -
TBD -
Banbridge 1
Ards 4
Newtowne FC 4
Crumlin United 1
Shankill 0
Armagh 2
Ballyclare 3
Donegal 2
Bangor Old Boys 0
Annagh 3
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Harland & Wolff 2
Dollingstown 0
Wakehurst 2
Derriaghy 3
Moyola 3
Glebe 2
TBD -
Glenavon -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure 2
Ards Rangers 6
Crumlin Star 1
Lisburn Distillery 0
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portadown -
TBD -
Knockbreda 1
PSNI 2
Dundela 4
Ballymoney 1
Newry City 1
Portstewart 2
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Tobermore 3
Limavady 1
TBD -
Linfield -
1/16-finals
Crusaders 6
Newington FC 0
Brantwood 0
Bangor FC 4
Institute 5
Loughgall 1
Larne 1
Carrick Rangers 2
Glentoran 2
Ards 0
Newtowne FC 0
Armagh 3
Ballyclare 3
Annagh 1
Ballinamallard 2
Dungannon 4
Harland & Wolff 2
Derriaghy 0
Moyola 2
Glenavon 3
Cliftonville 6
Ards Rangers 0
Crumlin Star 0
Ballymena 4
Portadown 2
PSNI 1
Dundela 2
Portstewart 3
Warrenpoint 3
Coleraine 1
Tobermore 0
Linfield 2
1/8-finals
Crusaders 2
Bangor FC 0
Institute 1
Carrick Rangers 3
Glentoran 4
Armagh 1
Ballyclare 0
Dungannon 1
Harland & Wolff 2
Glenavon 0
Cliftonville 1
Ballymena 2
Portadown 2
Portstewart 0
Warrenpoint 0
Linfield 5
Quarter-finals
Crusaders 4
Carrick Rangers 1
Glentoran 3
Dungannon 0
Harland & Wolff 2
Ballymena 3
Portadown 3
Linfield 2
Semi-finals
Crusaders 0
Glentoran 1
Ballymena 1
Portadown 3
Final
Glentoran 1
Portadown 0