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Armenia vs Belarus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium, Yerevan
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Yablonskiy E.
26'
Gromyko V.
40'
Zabelin P.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Armenia and Belarus finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Belarus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Armenia
35%
Draws
40%
Belarus
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Belarus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Belarus come out ahead of Armenia on wins alone.
  • Belarus are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Armenia Clean Sheet 14%
Belarus Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Armenia Belarus
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Friendly International
Armenia vs Belarus
1:2
Nov 9, 2017 Friendly International
Armenia vs Belarus
4:1
Mar 25, 2016 Friendly International
Armenia vs Belarus
0:0
Aug 15, 2012 Friendly International
Armenia vs Belarus
1:2
Mar 3, 2010 Friendly International
Armenia vs Belarus
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Armenia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Belarus Compare

Top Goalscorer Yablonskiy E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Armenia 19 / 100
Belarus 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Armenia Belarus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belarus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Armenia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Armenia scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Belarus let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Armenia VS Belarus
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Armenia

(Home)
05 Oct
Montenegro
0 : 0
Armenia
02 Oct
Cyprus
2 : 0
Armenia
28 Sept
Armenia
2 : 3
Montenegro
25 Sept
Armenia
2 : 0
Latvia
09 Jun
Armenia
1 : 1
Moldova
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Belarus

(Away)
06 Oct
Belarus
1 : 0
Finland
03 Oct
Belarus
4 : 0
San Marino
29 Sept
Finland
0 : 0
Belarus
26 Sept
Albania
2 : 0
Belarus
09 Jun
Belarus
2 : 2
Burkina Faso
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