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Stadium Background

Armenia vs Hungary

World World

World Championship 2026 Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium, Yerevan
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Varga B.
Assist: Szoboszlai D.
52'
Ranos G.
61'
Sub
Bolla B. In: Lukacs D.
Out: Bolla B.

AI Match Summary

Hungary in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hungary.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Armenia
30%
Draws
58%
Hungary
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hungary

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Hungary have won more games recently than Armenia.
  • Win probability leans Hungary's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Hungary have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Armenia Clean Sheet 11%
Hungary Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Armenia Hungary
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 4 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.29
Goals Conceded 2.26 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2025 World Championship
Armenia vs Hungary
0:1
Oct 11, 2025 World Championship
Hungary vs Armenia
2:0
Feb 18, 2004 Friendly International
Hungary vs Armenia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Armenia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Hungary Compare

Top Goalscorer Varga B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Armenia 27 / 100
Hungary 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Armenia Hungary

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hungary Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hungary conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Armenia found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (27 games).

Armenia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Armenia VS Hungary
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Armenia

(Home)
09 Jun
Armenia
1 : 1
Moldova
06 Jun
Armenia
1 : 1
Kazakhstan
29 Mar
Armenia
1 : 2
Belarus
16 Nov
Portugal
9 : 1
Armenia
13 Nov
Armenia
0 : 1
Hungary
Page 1 of 6

Hungary

(Away)
09 Jun
Hungary
3 : 1
Kazakhstan
05 Jun
Hungary
2 : 1
Finland
31 Mar
Hungary
0 : 0
Greece
28 Mar
Hungary
1 : 0
Slovenia
16 Nov
Hungary
2 : 3
Ireland
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Slovakia 6 4 0 2 6:8 12
3 Northern Ireland 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
4 Luxembourg 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 6 4 2 0 14:2 14
2 Kosovo 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Slovenia 6 0 4 2 3:8 4
4 Sweden 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Denmark 6 3 2 1 16:7 11
3 Greece 6 2 1 3 10:12 7
4 Belarus 6 0 2 4 4:17 2
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Ukraine 6 3 1 2 10:11 10
3 Iceland 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 6 5 1 0 21:2 16
2 Turkey 6 4 1 1 17:12 13
3 Georgia 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
4 Bulgaria 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 6 4 1 1 20:7 13
2 Ireland 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Hungary 6 2 2 2 11:10 8
4 Armenia 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 8 6 2 0 27:4 20
2 Poland 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Finland 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Malta 8 1 2 5 4:19 5
5 Lithuania 8 0 3 5 6:15 3
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 8 6 1 1 22:4 19
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Romania 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
4 Cyprus 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
5 San Marino 8 0 0 8 2:39 0
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 8 8 0 0 37:5 24
2 Italy 8 6 0 2 21:12 18
3 Israel 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Estonia 8 1 1 6 8:21 4
5 Moldova 8 0 1 7 5:32 1
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League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium 8 5 3 0 29:7 18
2 Wales 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
3 North Macedonia 8 3 4 1 13:10 13
4 Kazakhstan 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
5 Liechtenstein 8 0 0 8 0:31 0
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League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 8 8 0 0 22:0 24
2 Albania 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
3 Serbia 8 4 1 3 9:10 13
4 Latvia 8 1 2 5 5:15 5
5 Andorra 8 0 1 7 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia 8 7 1 0 26:4 22
2 Czech Republic 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
3 Faroe Islands 8 4 0 4 11:9 12
4 Montenegro 8 3 0 5 8:17 9
5 Gibraltar 8 0 0 8 3:28 0
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