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Armenia vs Kosovo Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2024 Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium, Yerevan
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Rashica M.
Assist: Zhegrova E.
45'
Aliti F.
58'
Sub
Bichakhchyan V. In: Sevikyan E.
Out: Bichakhchyan V.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Armenia and Kosovo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kosovo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Armenia
30%
Draws
41%
Kosovo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kosovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Kosovo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Kosovo here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Armenia Clean Sheet 10%
Kosovo Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Armenia Kosovo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.18 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2025 Friendly International
Kosovo vs Armenia
5:2
Mar 22, 2024 Friendly International
Armenia vs Kosovo
0:1
Nov 16, 2022 Friendly International
Kosovo vs Armenia
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Armenia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Kosovo Compare

Top Goalscorer Rashica M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Armenia 30 / 100
Kosovo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Armenia Kosovo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Armenia scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Armenia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Kosovo conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Armenia VS Kosovo
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Armenia

(Home)
02 Oct
Cyprus
2 : 0
Armenia
28 Sept
Armenia
2 : 3
Montenegro
25 Sept
Armenia
2 : 0
Latvia
09 Jun
Armenia
1 : 1
Moldova
06 Jun
Armenia
1 : 1
Kazakhstan
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Kosovo

(Away)
01 Oct
Israel
0 : 0
Kosovo
27 Sept
Austria
3 : 1
Kosovo
24 Sept
Kosovo
1 : 0
Ireland
07 Jun
Kosovo
3 : 0
Andorra
31 May
Czech Republic
2 : 1
Kosovo
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