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Arminia Bielefeld vs Duisburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Arminia Bielefeld and Duisburg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Arminia Bielefeld
30%
Draws
56%
Duisburg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Duisburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Duisburg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Duisburg's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Arminia Bielefeld Clean Sheet 10%
Duisburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arminia Bielefeld Duisburg
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 2.31 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Arminia Bielefeld vs Duisburg
1:1
Mar 31, 2024 3. Liga
Arminia Bielefeld vs Duisburg
2:0
Oct 21, 2023 3. Liga
Duisburg vs Arminia Bielefeld
0:1
Sep 2, 2020 Club Friendly
Arminia Bielefeld vs Duisburg
3:2
Apr 29, 2019 2. Bundesliga
Duisburg vs Arminia Bielefeld
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arminia Bielefeld 14 / 100
Duisburg 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arminia Bielefeld Duisburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Duisburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arminia Bielefeld's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Duisburg conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Arminia Bielefeld remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arminia Bielefeld VS Duisburg
1.75 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arminia Bielefeld

(Home)
03 Oct
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
RW Essen
20 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
Heidenheim
11 Sept
Darmstadt
2 : 1
Arminia Bielefeld
04 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
St. Pauli
29 Aug
Nurnberg
4 : 1
Arminia Bielefeld
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Duisburg

(Away)
20 Sept
Wehen
1 : 4
Duisburg
15 Sept
Duisburg
2 : 1
TSV Havelse
12 Sept
Dusseldorf
2 : 1
Duisburg
05 Sept
Regensburg
1 : 2
Duisburg
29 Aug
Duisburg
3 : 0
Wurzburger Kickers
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