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Arminia Bielefeld vs Heidenheim - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga Schüco Arena, Bielefeld
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Grodowski J.
20'
Hennrich P.
24'
Mainka P.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 2. Bundesliga matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Arminia Bielefeld
35%
Draws
50%
Heidenheim
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Heidenheim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Arminia Bielefeld haven't matched Heidenheim's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Heidenheim a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 2. Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Arminia Bielefeld Clean Sheet 10%
Heidenheim Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arminia Bielefeld Heidenheim
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.31 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Arminia Bielefeld vs Heidenheim
2:2
Feb 26, 2023 2. Bundesliga
Arminia Bielefeld vs Heidenheim
0:1
Aug 21, 2022 2. Bundesliga
Heidenheim vs Arminia Bielefeld
1:1
Jun 28, 2020 2. Bundesliga
Arminia Bielefeld vs Heidenheim
3:0
Dec 14, 2019 2. Bundesliga
Heidenheim vs Arminia Bielefeld
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arminia Bielefeld Compare

Top Goalscorer Grodowski J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Heidenheim Compare

Top Goalscorer Hennrich P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arminia Bielefeld 26 / 100
Heidenheim 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arminia Bielefeld Heidenheim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heidenheim Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:7
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Arminia Bielefeld scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Heidenheim conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Arminia Bielefeld remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arminia Bielefeld VS Heidenheim
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Arminia Bielefeld

(Home)
03 Oct
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
RW Essen
20 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
Heidenheim
11 Sept
Darmstadt
2 : 1
Arminia Bielefeld
04 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
St. Pauli
29 Aug
Nurnberg
4 : 1
Arminia Bielefeld
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Heidenheim

(Away)
02 Oct
Heidenheim
3 : 1
Wurzburger Kickers
25 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 0
Heidenheim
20 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
Heidenheim
13 Sept
Heidenheim
1 : 0
Holstein Kiel
06 Sept
Greuther Furth
0 : 1
Heidenheim
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hertha Berlin 6 6 0 0 17:7 18
2 Nurnberg 6 5 1 0 16:6 16
3 Heidenheim 6 4 1 1 14:12 13
4 Wolfsburg 6 3 2 1 15:8 11
5 Kaiserslautern 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
6 Magdeburg 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
7 Energie Cottbus 6 2 2 2 14:13 8
8 St. Pauli 6 1 4 1 8:8 7
9 Bochum 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
10 Hannover 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
11 VfL Osnabruck 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
12 Greuther Furth 6 1 3 2 9:11 6
13 Arminia Bielefeld 6 1 2 3 10:12 5
14 Karlsruher 6 1 2 3 6:12 5
15 Braunschweig 6 1 1 4 12:13 4
16 Holstein Kiel 6 0 4 2 7:10 4
17 Dresden 6 1 1 4 8:14 4
18 Darmstadt 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)