Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha Berlin

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 Schüco Arena, Bielefeld
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Gechter L.
Assist: Eitschberger J.
49' Event
Grodowski J.
Assist: Momuluh M.
59' Event
Grodowski J.
Assist: Sicker A.

AI Match Summary

Arminia Bielefeld in this 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arminia Bielefeld.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Arminia Bielefeld
35%
Draws
53%
Hertha Berlin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hertha Berlin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Arminia Bielefeld haven't matched Hertha Berlin's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Hertha Berlin a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Arminia Bielefeld Clean Sheet 10%
Hertha Berlin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arminia Bielefeld Hertha Berlin
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 17
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 2.31 2.66
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha Berlin
6:1
Dec 19, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Hertha Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld
1:1
Apr 30, 2022 Bundesliga
Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha Berlin
1:1
Dec 11, 2021 Bundesliga
Hertha Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld
2:0
May 9, 2021 Bundesliga
Hertha Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arminia Bielefeld Compare

Top Goalscorer Grodowski J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Momuluh M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Hertha Berlin Compare

Top Goalscorer Gechter L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arminia Bielefeld 10 / 100
Hertha Berlin 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arminia Bielefeld Hertha Berlin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hertha Berlin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arminia Bielefeld scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Hertha Berlin has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Arminia Bielefeld has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arminia Bielefeld VS Hertha Berlin
1.75 Goals Scored 2.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Arminia Bielefeld

(Home)
03 Oct
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
RW Essen
20 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
Heidenheim
11 Sept
Darmstadt
2 : 1
Arminia Bielefeld
04 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
St. Pauli
29 Aug
Nurnberg
4 : 1
Arminia Bielefeld
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Hertha Berlin

(Away)
02 Oct
Augsburg
2 : 2
Hertha Berlin
29 Sept
Hertha Zehlendorf
1 : 3
Hertha Berlin
19 Sept
Dresden
1 : 2
Hertha Berlin
13 Sept
VfL Osnabruck
1 : 3
Hertha Berlin
06 Sept
Hertha Berlin
2 : 1
Magdeburg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Schalke 34 21 7 6 50:31 70
2 Elversberg 34 18 8 8 64:39 62
3 Paderborn 34 18 8 8 59:45 62
4 Hannover 34 16 12 6 60:44 60
5 Darmstadt 34 13 13 8 57:45 52
6 Kaiserslautern 34 16 4 14 52:47 52
7 Hertha Berlin 34 14 9 11 47:44 51
8 Nurnberg 34 12 10 12 47:45 46
9 Bochum 34 11 11 12 49:47 44
10 Karlsruher 34 12 8 14 53:64 44
11 Dresden 34 11 8 15 54:53 41
12 Holstein Kiel 34 11 8 15 44:48 41
13 Arminia Bielefeld 34 10 9 15 53:51 39
14 Magdeburg 34 12 3 19 52:58 39
15 Braunschweig 34 10 7 17 36:54 37
16 Greuther Furth 34 10 7 17 49:68 37
17 Dusseldorf 34 11 4 19 33:53 37
18 Preussen Munster 34 6 12 16 38:61 30
Promotion - Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)