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Arminia Bielefeld W vs Duisburg W

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DFB Pokal Women 2023/2024 Schüco Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arminia Bielefeld W play Duisburg W in the DFB Pokal Women 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Arminia Bielefeld W averaged 1.61 goals scored and 2.61 conceded. Duisburg W averaged 1.48 goals scored and 2.52 conceded. In past meetings, Arminia Bielefeld W won 2, Duisburg W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 9, 2023 ended 1:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Arminia Bielefeld W and 2.63 for Duisburg W. This points to a Arminia Bielefeld W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Arminia Bielefeld W
15%
Draws
41%
Duisburg W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arminia Bielefeld W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Arminia Bielefeld W picked up more points recently compared to Duisburg W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 2.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Arminia Bielefeld W Clean Sheet 10%
Duisburg W Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arminia Bielefeld W Duisburg W
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 6 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 18 21
Goals Scored 1.61 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.61 2.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2023 DFB Pokal Women
Arminia Bielefeld W vs Duisburg W
1:6
Sep 8, 2019 DFB Pokal Women
Arminia Bielefeld W vs Duisburg W
1:0
Oct 8, 2017 DFB Pokal Women
Arminia Bielefeld W vs Duisburg W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arminia Bielefeld W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hampel J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Duisburg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hess A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zielinski Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arminia Bielefeld W 42 / 100
Duisburg W 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arminia Bielefeld W Duisburg W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Arminia Bielefeld W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Arminia Bielefeld W attacking → ← attacking Duisburg W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arminia Bielefeld W scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Duisburg W let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Arminia Bielefeld W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Duisburg W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 28
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
3.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75