Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Army Red vs East Bengal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

India India

Durand Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
P V V.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Army Red
15%
Draws
39%
East Bengal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Army Red

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • East Bengal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Army Red a 46% chance of winning this.
  • East Bengal arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor East Bengal, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Army Red Clean Sheet 16%
East Bengal Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Army Red East Bengal
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 19
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 2
Goals Scored 1.41 2.71
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Durand Cup
Army Red vs East Bengal
0:1
Aug 3, 2019 Durand Cup
East Bengal vs Army Red
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Army Red Compare

Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

East Bengal Compare

Top Goalscorer P V V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Army Red 39 / 100
East Bengal 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Army Red East Bengal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Army Red Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Army Red's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Army Red has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

East Bengal has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Army Red VS East Bengal
0 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Army Red

(Home)
16 Aug
Army Red
0 : 1
East Bengal
12 Aug
Mohammedan
1 : 2
Army Red
05 Aug
Army Red
4 : 0
Baghpat
26 Jul
Army Red
1 : 0
Samaleswari SC
11 Aug
Army Red
4 : 2
1 Ladakh
Page 1 of 6

East Bengal

(Away)
05 Oct
East Bengal
7 : 2
North East United
30 Sept
East Bengal
0 : 1
Minerva Punjab
24 Sept
Calcutta Customs
1 : 3
East Bengal
19 Sept
Coal India
0 : 7
East Bengal
16 Sept
Al Hussein
2 : 2
East Bengal
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
SC Delhi 5
Raengdai 1
Army Red 0
East Bengal 1
Mohun Bagan 2
Jamshedpur 1
Lajong 2
North East United 5
Semi-finals
SC Delhi 0
East Bengal 1
Mohun Bagan 1
North East United 0
Final
East Bengal 4
Mohun Bagan 1