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Arnavutkoy Bl. vs Mamak

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3. Lig Group 1 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

71'
Erarslan R.
76' Event
Durmus S.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 1 2021/2022 game between Arnavutkoy Bl. and Mamak finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arnavutkoy Bl..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Arnavutkoy Bl.
15%
Draws
85%
Mamak
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mamak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arnavutkoy Bl. come out ahead of Mamak on wins alone.
  • 0% — that's where the model lands on Arnavutkoy Bl. taking it.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 1 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Arnavutkoy Bl. Clean Sheet 20%
Mamak Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arnavutkoy Bl. Mamak
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 1.16 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.19 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2022 3. Lig Group 1
Arnavutkoy Bl. vs Mamak
1:0
Oct 9, 2021 3. Lig Group 1
Mamak vs Arnavutkoy Bl.
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arnavutkoy Bl. Compare

Top Goalscorer Durmus S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

Mamak Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arnavutkoy Bl. 85 / 100
Mamak 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arnavutkoy Bl. Mamak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arnavutkoy Bl. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mamak's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Mamak has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Arnavutkoy Bl. found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Arnavutkoy Bl. VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arnavutkoy Bl.

(Home)
04 Oct
Kastamonuspor
2 : 1
Arnavutkoy Bl.
27 Sept
Hatayspor
2 : 0
Arnavutkoy Bl.
19 Sept
Arnavutkoy Bl.
0 : 2
Corluspor
12 Sept
Guzide Gebzespor
1 : 0
Arnavutkoy Bl.
06 Sept
Arnavutkoy Bl.
1 : 4
Aliaga
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Mamak

(Away)
07 May
Kahta
6 : 0
Mamak
01 May
Mamak
0 : 3
Sancaktepe
24 Apr
Catalca Spor
6 : 1
Mamak
17 Apr
Mamak
2 : 3
Kelkit Bld.
10 Apr
Karaman FK
2 : 0
Mamak
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Batman Petrolspor 34 22 8 4 55:29 74
2 Kutahyaspor 34 19 9 6 63:32 66
3 Bursa Yildirimspor 34 17 11 6 45:27 62
4 Hopaspor 34 17 8 9 45:26 59
5 Arnavutkoy Bl. 34 18 5 11 47:29 59
6 Erbaaspor 34 14 10 10 48:33 52
7 Catalca Spor 34 14 8 12 47:32 50
8 Nevsehir 34 14 8 12 56:53 50
9 Kelkit Bld. 34 12 12 10 41:40 48
10 Izmir Coruhlu 34 12 10 12 54:47 46
11 Fatsa Bld. 34 9 15 10 32:31 42
12 Karaman FK 34 10 10 14 33:44 40
13 Osmaniyespor 34 10 10 14 33:34 40
14 Elazigspor 34 10 9 15 36:51 39
15 Kahta 34 8 15 11 39:42 39
16 Hendek Spor 34 6 14 14 33:41 32
17 Mamak 34 5 6 23 22:79 18
18 Sancaktepe 34 3 4 27 28:87 13
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2021/2022 (Play Offs)