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Arnedo vs Autol

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Vidorreta Larumbe J.
5' Event
Chacon A.
23' Event
Chacon A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 game between Arnedo and Autol finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arnedo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Arnedo
30%
Draws
58%
Autol
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Autol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arnedo come out ahead of Autol on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Arnedo's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Arnedo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Arnedo Clean Sheet 20%
Autol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arnedo Autol
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 2
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 22
Goals Scored 2.13 0.47
Goals Conceded 1.2 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Autol
6:0
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Autol vs Arnedo
0:3
Apr 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Autol vs Arnedo
2:1
Nov 30, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Autol
4:1
Aug 21, 2024 Club Friendly
Autol vs Arnedo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arnedo Compare

Top Goalscorer Chacon A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Vidorreta Larumbe J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Autol Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arnedo 36 / 100
Autol 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arnedo Autol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Arnedo scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Autol conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Arnedo has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arnedo VS Autol
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arnedo

(Home)
27 Sept
Espanyol B
5 : 0
Arnedo
20 Sept
Arnedo
0 : 1
Terrassa
13 Sept
Osasuna B
4 : 1
Arnedo
06 Sept
Arnedo
1 : 4
CE Manresa
29 Aug
Arnedo
2 : 2
Naxara
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Autol

(Away)
10 May
Autol
2 : 1
Berceo
03 May
UD Logrones B
8 : 0
Autol
26 Apr
Autol
0 : 0
Oyonesa
19 Apr
Pradejon
1 : 0
Autol
12 Apr
Autol
1 : 1
Anguiano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)