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Arnedo vs Autol

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Vidorreta Larumbe J.
5' Event
Chacon A.
23' Event
Chacon A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 game between Arnedo and Autol finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arnedo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Arnedo
30%
Draws
23%
Autol
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arnedo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arnedo come out ahead of Autol on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Arnedo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Arnedo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Arnedo Clean Sheet 68%
Autol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arnedo Autol
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 23 2
Draws 9 6
Losses 4 22
Goals Scored 2 0.43
Goals Conceded 0.38 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 2.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Autol
6:0
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Autol vs Arnedo
0:3
Apr 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Autol vs Arnedo
2:1
Nov 30, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Autol
4:1
Aug 21, 2024 Club Friendly
Autol vs Arnedo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arnedo Compare

Top Goalscorer Chacon A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Vidorreta Larumbe J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Autol Compare

Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arnedo 95 / 100
Autol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arnedo Autol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Arnedo scored in 83% of their last 36 outings.

Defensive concern: Autol conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Arnedo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arnedo VS Autol
2 Goals Scored 0.43
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.29
88% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 43%
0% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Arnedo

(Home)
20 Jun
Arnedo
2 : 0
CD Tropezon
13 Jun
CD Tropezon
1 : 0
Arnedo
07 Jun
Arnedo
3 : 2
Oyonesa
31 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0
Arnedo
24 May
Arnedo
1 : 0
CD Calahorra
Page 1 of 8

Autol

(Away)
10 May
Autol
2 : 1
Berceo
03 May
UD Logrones B
8 : 0
Autol
26 Apr
Autol
0 : 0
Oyonesa
19 Apr
Pradejon
1 : 0
Autol
12 Apr
Autol
1 : 1
Anguiano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)