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Stadium Background

Arnedo vs CD Tropezon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio Sendero, Arnedo
Sat, Jun 20, 2026
2 - 0
05:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Vidorreta Larumbe J.
1' Event
Pascual I.
(Penalty)
1' Event
Miguelin
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Arnedo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Arnedo
15%
Draws
85%
CD Tropezon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Tropezon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Arnedo average 2 goals a game right now, well clear of CD Tropezon's 1.41.
  • Win probability leans CD Tropezon's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor CD Tropezon, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and CD Tropezon have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Arnedo Clean Sheet 14%
CD Tropezon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arnedo CD Tropezon
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 19 19
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 2 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.18 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arnedo vs CD Tropezon
2:0
Jun 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Tropezon vs Arnedo
1:0
Oct 14, 2020 Copa Federacion
Arnedo vs CD Tropezon
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arnedo Compare

Top Goalscorer Vidorreta Larumbe J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

CD Tropezon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arnedo 10 / 100
CD Tropezon 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arnedo CD Tropezon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Tropezon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arnedo found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (33 games).

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

CD Tropezon let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Arnedo VS CD Tropezon
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arnedo

(Home)
04 Oct
Arnedo
1 : 2
Ebro
27 Sept
Espanyol B
5 : 0
Arnedo
20 Sept
Arnedo
0 : 1
Terrassa
13 Sept
Osasuna B
4 : 1
Arnedo
06 Sept
Arnedo
1 : 4
CE Manresa
Page 1 of 7

CD Tropezon

(Away)
04 Oct
Castro
0 : 2
CD Tropezon
27 Sept
CD Tropezon
2 : 0
CD Revilla
19 Sept
Solares
1 : 2
CD Tropezon
12 Sept
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Selaya
06 Sept
CD Laredo
1 : 2
CD Tropezon
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
CD Tropezon 1
Arnedo 2
Real Murcia B 3
Pamplona 2
Guijuelo 2
Tamaraceite 3
Trival Valderas 0
La Nucia 1
Compostela 3
CF Badalona 2
Arenas Armilla 3
Pena Deportiva 6
Atletico Central 3
Caudal Deportivo 1
CD Badajoz 3
CD Cuarte 2
Leioa 1
Albacete B 2