Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arnedo vs CD Tropezon

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio Sendero, Arnedo
Sat, Jun 20, 2026
2 - 0
05:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Vidorreta Larumbe J.
1' Event
Pascual I.
(Penalty)
1' Event
Miguelin
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Arnedo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Arnedo
20%
Draws
40%
CD Tropezon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arnedo lately — more wins on the board than CD Tropezon.
  • Win probability leans Arnedo's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Arnedo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor CD Tropezon, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and CD Tropezon have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Arnedo Clean Sheet 68%
CD Tropezon Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arnedo CD Tropezon
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 19 18
Draws 8 4
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 2.13 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arnedo vs CD Tropezon
2:0
Jun 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Tropezon vs Arnedo
1:0
Oct 14, 2020 Copa Federacion
Arnedo vs CD Tropezon
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arnedo Compare

Top Goalscorer Vidorreta Larumbe J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

CD Tropezon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arnedo 50 / 100
CD Tropezon 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arnedo CD Tropezon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arnedo found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Arnedo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

CD Tropezon has conceded goals in 53% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arnedo VS CD Tropezon
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arnedo

(Home)
20 Jun
Arnedo
2 : 0
CD Tropezon
13 Jun
CD Tropezon
1 : 0
Arnedo
07 Jun
Arnedo
3 : 2
Oyonesa
31 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0
Arnedo
24 May
Arnedo
1 : 0
CD Calahorra
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CD Tropezon

(Away)
20 Jun
Arnedo
2 : 0
CD Tropezon
13 Jun
CD Tropezon
1 : 0
Arnedo
06 Jun
CD Laredo
0 : 1
CD Tropezon
31 May
CD Tropezon
0 : 0
CD Laredo
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
CD Tropezon 1
Arnedo 2
Real Murcia B 3
Pamplona 2
Guijuelo 2
Tamaraceite 3
Trival Valderas 0
La Nucia 1
Compostela 3
CF Badalona 2
Arenas Armilla 3
Pena Deportiva 6
Atletico Central 3
Caudal Deportivo 1
CD Badajoz 3
CD Cuarte 2
Leioa 1
Albacete B 2