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Arnedo vs Haro Deportivo

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Pascual I.

AI Match Summary

Arnedo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arnedo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Arnedo
20%
Draws
73%
Haro Deportivo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Haro Deportivo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Arnedo have won more games recently than Haro Deportivo.
  • Haro Deportivo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Arnedo Clean Sheet 20%
Haro Deportivo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arnedo Haro Deportivo
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.03 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Haro Deportivo
1:0
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Haro Deportivo vs Arnedo
2:2
May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Haro Deportivo
3:3
Dec 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Haro Deportivo vs Arnedo
0:1
May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Haro Deportivo vs Arnedo
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arnedo Compare

Top Goalscorer Pascual I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Haro Deportivo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arnedo 10 / 100
Haro Deportivo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arnedo Haro Deportivo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Haro Deportivo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Arnedo scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Haro Deportivo conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Arnedo remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arnedo VS Haro Deportivo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arnedo

(Home)
27 Sept
Espanyol B
5 : 0
Arnedo
20 Sept
Arnedo
0 : 1
Terrassa
13 Sept
Osasuna B
4 : 1
Arnedo
06 Sept
Arnedo
1 : 4
CE Manresa
29 Aug
Arnedo
2 : 2
Naxara
Page 1 of 7

Haro Deportivo

(Away)
27 Sept
Haro Deportivo
3 : 0
Yague
20 Sept
Alfaro
1 : 2
Haro Deportivo
13 Sept
Haro Deportivo
4 : 3
Calasancio
05 Sept
Agoncillo
1 : 1
Haro Deportivo
14 Aug
Haro Deportivo
1 : 4
Naxara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)