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Arnedo vs Oyonesa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Garcia M.
66' Event
Vidorreta Larumbe J.
71' Event
Gnamadio S.

AI Match Summary

Arnedo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Arnedo
20%
Draws
80%
Oyonesa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Oyonesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arnedo lately — more wins on the board than Oyonesa.
  • Model gives Oyonesa a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Arnedo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Arnedo, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Arnedo Clean Sheet 17%
Oyonesa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arnedo Oyonesa
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 19 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 2 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Oyonesa
3:2
May 31, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Oyonesa vs Arnedo
0:0
Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Oyonesa vs Arnedo
2:3
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Oyonesa
2:0
May 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Oyonesa
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arnedo Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vidorreta Larumbe J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Oyonesa Compare

Top Goalscorer Saenz Esparza R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arnedo 10 / 100
Oyonesa 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arnedo Oyonesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oyonesa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arnedo's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Oyonesa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Oyonesa's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Arnedo VS Oyonesa
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arnedo

(Home)
04 Oct
Arnedo
1 : 2
Ebro
27 Sept
Espanyol B
5 : 0
Arnedo
20 Sept
Arnedo
0 : 1
Terrassa
13 Sept
Osasuna B
4 : 1
Arnedo
06 Sept
Arnedo
1 : 4
CE Manresa
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Oyonesa

(Away)
04 Oct
Oyonesa
1 : 1
Varea
27 Sept
Vianes
2 : 2
Oyonesa
18 Sept
Oyonesa
1 : 0
Casalarreina CF
13 Sept
CD Calahorra
2 : 0
Oyonesa
06 Sept
Oyonesa
1 : 2
Anguiano
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Arnedo 3
CD Calahorra 0
Varea 0
Oyonesa 2
Final
Arnedo 3
Oyonesa 2