Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arnedo vs Oyonesa

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Garcia M.
66' Event
Vidorreta Larumbe J.
71' Event
Gnamadio S.

AI Match Summary

Arnedo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Arnedo
33%
Draws
27%
Oyonesa
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Arnedo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arnedo lately — more wins on the board than Oyonesa.
  • Model gives Arnedo a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Arnedo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Arnedo, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Arnedo Clean Sheet 68%
Oyonesa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arnedo Oyonesa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Oyonesa
3:2
May 31, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Oyonesa vs Arnedo
0:0
Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Oyonesa vs Arnedo
2:3
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Oyonesa
2:0
May 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Oyonesa
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arnedo Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vidorreta Larumbe J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Oyonesa Compare

Top Goalscorer Saenz Esparza R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arnedo 50 / 100
Oyonesa 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arnedo Oyonesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arnedo's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Oyonesa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Arnedo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arnedo VS Oyonesa
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arnedo

(Home)
20 Jun
Arnedo
2 : 0
CD Tropezon
13 Jun
CD Tropezon
1 : 0
Arnedo
07 Jun
Arnedo
3 : 2
Oyonesa
31 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0
Arnedo
24 May
Arnedo
1 : 0
CD Calahorra
Page 1 of 6

Oyonesa

(Away)
07 Jun
Arnedo
3 : 2
Oyonesa
31 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0
Arnedo
24 May
Varea
0 : 2
Oyonesa
17 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0
Varea
10 May
Varea
0 : 1
Oyonesa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Arnedo 3
CD Calahorra 0
Varea 0
Oyonesa 2
Final
Arnedo 3
Oyonesa 2