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Arnedo vs UD Logrones B

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Ortiz A.
89' Event
Campos I.

AI Match Summary

UD Logrones B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Logrones B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Arnedo
15%
Draws
51%
UD Logrones B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Logrones B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • UD Logrones B have won more games recently than Arnedo.
  • Win probability leans UD Logrones B's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • UD Logrones B have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Arnedo Clean Sheet 10%
UD Logrones B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arnedo UD Logrones B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 23
Draws 8 7
Losses 3 0
Goals Scored 2.13 3.03
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.22 2.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs UD Logrones B
0:2
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
UD Logrones B vs Arnedo
2:0
Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs UD Logrones B
1:0
Sep 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
UD Logrones B vs Arnedo
3:2
Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
UD Logrones B vs Arnedo
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arnedo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.94
Avg xA / game 0.61

UD Logrones B Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Campos I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.18
Avg xA / game 1.33

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arnedo 10 / 100
UD Logrones B 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arnedo UD Logrones B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Logrones B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arnedo's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Arnedo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

UD Logrones B has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arnedo VS UD Logrones B
2 Goals Scored 4.43
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.43
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 86%
0% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Arnedo

(Home)
20 Jun
Arnedo
2 : 0
CD Tropezon
13 Jun
CD Tropezon
1 : 0
Arnedo
07 Jun
Arnedo
3 : 2
Oyonesa
31 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0
Arnedo
24 May
Arnedo
1 : 0
CD Calahorra
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UD Logrones B

(Away)
10 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 5
UD Logrones B
03 May
UD Logrones B
8 : 0
Autol
26 Apr
Berceo
1 : 2
UD Logrones B
19 Apr
Yague
0 : 3
UD Logrones B
12 Apr
UD Logrones B
2 : 0
Oyonesa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)