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Arnedo vs Yague - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Garrido S.
45' Event
Ruiz A.
53' Event
Garcia M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 game between Arnedo and Yague finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arnedo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Arnedo
15%
Draws
85%
Yague
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yague

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arnedo come out ahead of Yague on wins alone.
  • Yague are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Arnedo Clean Sheet 20%
Yague Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arnedo Yague
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 18 6
Draws 8 11
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.03 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Yague
3:0
Nov 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Yague vs Arnedo
1:1
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Yague vs Arnedo
2:1
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Yague
2:0
Jan 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Yague
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arnedo Compare

Top Goalscorer Garrido S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ruiz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Yague Compare

Avg xG / game 0.66
Avg xA / game 0.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arnedo 10 / 100
Yague 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arnedo Yague

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yague Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Arnedo scored in 82% of their last 34 outings.

Yague let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Difficult form: Yague registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arnedo VS Yague
1.38 Goals Scored 0.83
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.33
50% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arnedo

(Home)
04 Oct
Arnedo
1 : 2
Ebro
27 Sept
Espanyol B
5 : 0
Arnedo
20 Sept
Arnedo
0 : 1
Terrassa
13 Sept
Osasuna B
4 : 1
Arnedo
06 Sept
Arnedo
1 : 4
CE Manresa
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Yague

(Away)
03 Oct
Yague
2 : 1
Cenicero
27 Sept
Haro Deportivo
3 : 0
Yague
18 Sept
Yague
1 : 0
River Ebro
13 Sept
Alfaro
2 : 1
Yague
05 Sept
Yague
1 : 2
Berceo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)