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Arnett Gardens vs Cavalier

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League 2025/2026 Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex, Kingston
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Wilson K.
47' Event
Wilson K.
90' Event
Reid A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Arnett Gardens and Cavalier finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arnett Gardens.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Arnett Gardens
15%
Draws
37%
Cavalier
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arnett Gardens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cavalier come out ahead of Arnett Gardens on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Arnett Gardens's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Arnett Gardens Clean Sheet 68%
Cavalier Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arnett Gardens Cavalier
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.66 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Premier League
Cavalier vs Arnett Gardens
3:2
Apr 24, 2026 Premier League
Arnett Gardens vs Cavalier
2:1
Jan 6, 2026 Premier League
Cavalier vs Arnett Gardens
0:3
Sep 1, 2025 Premier League
Arnett Gardens vs Cavalier
2:3
May 19, 2025 Premier League
Arnett Gardens vs Cavalier
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arnett Gardens Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilson K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

Cavalier Compare

Top Goalscorer Reid A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.29
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arnett Gardens 95 / 100
Cavalier 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arnett Gardens Cavalier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arnett Gardens Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Arnett Gardens scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Arnett Gardens has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Cavalier has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arnett Gardens VS Cavalier
3.33 Goals Scored 1.5
1.33 Goals Conceded 0.88
83% Over 1.5 75%
83% Over 2.5 38%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arnett Gardens

(Home)
27 Sept
Cavalier
3 : 2
Arnett Gardens
22 Sept
Arnett Gardens
3 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
15 Sept
Racing United
3 : 2
Arnett Gardens
06 May
Chapelton
2 : 7
Arnett Gardens
03 May
Arnett Gardens
6 : 0
Spanish Town Police
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Cavalier

(Away)
27 Sept
Cavalier
3 : 2
Arnett Gardens
17 Sept
Mount Pleasant
1 : 0
Cavalier
13 Sept
FC Dunbeholden
1 : 2
Cavalier
04 Sept
Cavalier
0 : 2
Portmore
21 Aug
Cavalier
0 : 0
Salcedo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mount Pleasant 39 20 14 5 69:25 74
2 Montego Bay 39 21 8 10 79:45 71
3 Portmore 39 17 15 7 54:35 66
4 Waterhouse 39 19 8 12 51:32 65
5 Cavalier 39 19 4 16 57:41 61
6 Racing United 39 14 18 7 53:34 60
7 Arnett Gardens 39 17 7 15 68:46 58
8 Chapelton 39 14 7 18 42:57 49
9 FC Dunbeholden 39 13 9 17 40:53 48
10 Tivoli 39 11 11 17 37:58 44
11 Treasure Beach 39 10 13 16 43:59 43
12 Molynes United 39 9 15 15 45:47 42
13 Harbour View 39 9 12 18 53:73 39
14 Spanish Town Police 39 7 5 27 25:111 26
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)