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Arnett Gardens vs FC Dunbeholden

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Powell S.
82' Event
Wedderburn C.
90' Event
Reid F.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Arnett Gardens and FC Dunbeholden finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Dunbeholden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Arnett Gardens
6%
Draws
4%
FC Dunbeholden
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Arnett Gardens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Arnett Gardens carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Arnett Gardens taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Arnett Gardens Clean Sheet 19%
FC Dunbeholden Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arnett Gardens FC Dunbeholden
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
Arnett Gardens vs FC Dunbeholden
1:2
Feb 12, 2026 Premier League
FC Dunbeholden vs Arnett Gardens
1:1
Feb 3, 2026 Premier League
Arnett Gardens vs FC Dunbeholden
1:0
Mar 13, 2025 Premier League
Arnett Gardens vs FC Dunbeholden
4:1
Dec 22, 2024 Premier League
FC Dunbeholden vs Arnett Gardens
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arnett Gardens Compare

Top Goalscorer Reid F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

FC Dunbeholden Compare

Top Goalscorer Powell S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wedderburn C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arnett Gardens 85 / 100
FC Dunbeholden 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arnett Gardens FC Dunbeholden

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arnett Gardens scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

FC Dunbeholden's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Arnett Gardens stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arnett Gardens VS FC Dunbeholden
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mount Pleasant392014569:2574
2Montego Bay392181079:4571
3Portmore391715754:3566
4Waterhouse391981251:3265
5Cavalier391941657:4161
6Racing United391418753:3460
7Arnett Gardens391771568:4658
8Chapelton391471842:5749
9FC Dunbeholden391391740:5348
10Tivoli3911111737:5844
11Treasure Beach3910131643:5943
12Molynes United399151545:4742
13Harbour View399121853:7339
14Spanish Town Police39752725:11126