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Arnett Gardens vs FC Dunbeholden

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League 2025/2026 Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex, Kingston
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Powell S.
82' Event
Wedderburn C.
90' Event
Reid F.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Arnett Gardens and FC Dunbeholden finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Dunbeholden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Arnett Gardens
15%
Draws
0%
FC Dunbeholden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arnett Gardens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Arnett Gardens carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Arnett Gardens taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Arnett Gardens Clean Sheet 20%
FC Dunbeholden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arnett Gardens FC Dunbeholden
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.69 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 Premier League
Arnett Gardens vs FC Dunbeholden
3:0
Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
Arnett Gardens vs FC Dunbeholden
1:2
Feb 12, 2026 Premier League
FC Dunbeholden vs Arnett Gardens
1:1
Feb 3, 2026 Premier League
Arnett Gardens vs FC Dunbeholden
1:0
Mar 13, 2025 Premier League
Arnett Gardens vs FC Dunbeholden
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arnett Gardens Compare

Top Goalscorer Reid F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

FC Dunbeholden Compare

Top Goalscorer Powell S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wedderburn C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arnett Gardens 85 / 100
FC Dunbeholden 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arnett Gardens FC Dunbeholden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arnett Gardens Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Dunbeholden lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Arnett Gardens's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

FC Dunbeholden's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Arnett Gardens VS FC Dunbeholden
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arnett Gardens

(Home)
22 Sept
Arnett Gardens
3 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
15 Sept
Racing United
3 : 2
Arnett Gardens
06 May
Chapelton
2 : 7
Arnett Gardens
03 May
Arnett Gardens
6 : 0
Spanish Town Police
26 Apr
Portmore
1 : 2
Arnett Gardens
Page 1 of 6

FC Dunbeholden

(Away)
22 Sept
Arnett Gardens
3 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
13 Sept
FC Dunbeholden
1 : 2
Cavalier
06 May
Waterhouse
4 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
03 May
FC Dunbeholden
0 : 5
Mount Pleasant
26 Apr
Treasure Beach
1 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mount Pleasant 39 20 14 5 69:25 74
2 Montego Bay 39 21 8 10 79:45 71
3 Portmore 39 17 15 7 54:35 66
4 Waterhouse 39 19 8 12 51:32 65
5 Cavalier 39 19 4 16 57:41 61
6 Racing United 39 14 18 7 53:34 60
7 Arnett Gardens 39 17 7 15 68:46 58
8 Chapelton 39 14 7 18 42:57 49
9 FC Dunbeholden 39 13 9 17 40:53 48
10 Tivoli 39 11 11 17 37:58 44
11 Treasure Beach 39 10 13 16 43:59 43
12 Molynes United 39 9 15 15 45:47 42
13 Harbour View 39 9 12 18 53:73 39
14 Spanish Town Police 39 7 5 27 25:111 26
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)