Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arnstadt vs Bischofswerdaer

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Schmidt J.
37' Event
Zizka S.
44' Event
Rodrigues M.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024 game between Arnstadt and Bischofswerdaer finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bischofswerdaer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Arnstadt
15%
Draws
21%
Bischofswerdaer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arnstadt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Arnstadt haven't matched Bischofswerdaer's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bischofswerdaer a 21% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Arnstadt Clean Sheet 10%
Bischofswerdaer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arnstadt Bischofswerdaer
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 1.13 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.6 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Arnstadt vs Bischofswerdaer
0:6
Feb 3, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bischofswerdaer vs Arnstadt
3:1
Jun 5, 2022 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Arnstadt vs Bischofswerdaer
0:0
Feb 26, 2022 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bischofswerdaer vs Arnstadt
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arnstadt Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Bischofswerdaer Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigues M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Schmidt J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arnstadt 18 / 100
Bischofswerdaer 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arnstadt Bischofswerdaer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bischofswerdaer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bischofswerdaer let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Bischofswerdaer lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Arnstadt scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arnstadt VS Bischofswerdaer
2 Goals Scored 0.63
4 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arnstadt

(Home)
15 Jul
Einheit Rudolstadt
4 : 2
Arnstadt
09 Jul
Arnstadt
1 : 6
Einheit Rudolstadt
08 Jun
Arnstadt
0 : 6
Bischofswerdaer
02 Jun
Krieschow
3 : 1
Arnstadt
18 May
Sandersdorf
1 : 2
Arnstadt
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Bischofswerdaer

(Away)
30 May
Bischofswerdaer
2 : 4
Plauen
17 May
Krieschow
1 : 1
Bischofswerdaer
09 May
Bischofswerdaer
0 : 1
Sandersdorf
02 May
Einheit Wernigerode
2 : 1
Bischofswerdaer
26 Apr
Bischofswerdaer
1 : 3
Glauchau
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bischofswerdaer 30 21 7 2 78:33 70
2 Plauen 30 22 4 4 63:19 70
3 Halberstadt 30 18 6 6 71:45 60
4 Magdeburg II 30 17 4 9 70:43 55
5 Auerbach 30 17 4 9 64:38 55
6 Krieschow 30 14 4 12 59:52 46
7 Sandersdorf 30 13 3 14 49:46 42
8 Freital 30 12 4 14 43:46 40
9 Einheit Wernigerode 30 10 6 14 54:67 36
10 Bautzen 30 9 8 13 45:52 35
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 10 4 16 40:53 34
12 Grimma 30 9 5 16 40:63 32
13 Ludwigsfelder 30 8 7 15 39:50 31
14 Halle 30 8 6 16 47:62 30
15 Motor Marienberg 30 6 4 20 33:93 22
16 Arnstadt 30 5 6 19 35:68 21
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2024/2025 (Main)