Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2017/2018

Aroes

1 - 3

Vilaverdense FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2017/2018 game between Aroes and Vilaverdense FC finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vilaverdense FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Aroes

Draws

Vilaverdense FC

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aroes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Vilaverdense FC come out ahead of Aroes on wins alone.
Model gives Aroes a 90% chance of winning this.
Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%

Aroes Clean Sheet 20%

Vilaverdense FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aroes	Vilaverdense FC
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	5	6
Draws	8	9
Losses	17	17
Goals Scored	0	0.5
Goals Conceded	0	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Aroes vs Vilaverdense FC

Possession: 47% - 43% Cards: 2 - 2

1:3

Sep 30, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Vilaverdense FC vs Aroes

Possession: 59% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aroes 85 / 100

Vilaverdense FC 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aroes Vilaverdense FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARO Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Vilaverdense FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Away concern: Vilaverdense FC has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Aroes's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vilaverdense FC

0 Goals Scored 0.5

0 Goals Conceded 0.88

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 13%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vizela	30	22	7	1	53:11	73
2	Vilaverdense FC	30	19	7	4	65:29	64
3	AD Fafe	30	18	6	6	42:19	60
4	SC Mirandela	30	17	6	7	42:26	57
5	Merelinense	30	15	8	7	60:29	53
6	Sao Martinho	30	14	7	9	46:31	49
7	AD Oliveirense	30	10	14	6	41:27	44
8	CDC Montalegre	30	10	8	12	39:38	38
9	GD Uniao Torcatense	30	10	8	12	28:36	38
10	Pedras Salgadas	30	10	8	12	32:35	38
11	GD Braganca	30	8	9	13	31:43	33
12	Camara de Lobos	30	9	3	18	27:54	30
13	Atletico Arcos	30	5	11	14	28:55	26
14	Aroes	30	5	9	16	25:41	24
15	Mondinense	30	6	5	19	27:68	23
16	Minas de Argozelo	30	3	2	25	24:68	11