Sport Picks
Match Events
1'
1'
Pereira J.
19'
19'
Torrado C.
24'
24'
Rey A.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Arosa SC and Alondras finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arosa SC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Arosa SC come out ahead of Alondras on wins alone.
- Model gives Arosa SC a 53% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Arosa SC Clean Sheet 68%
Alondras Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arosa SC | Alondras |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 4 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arosa SC vs Alondras
2:2
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Arosa SC
0:2
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arosa SC vs Alondras
3:3
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Arosa SC
2:0
Apr 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arosa SC vs Alondras
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arosa SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Torrado C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rey A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Alondras Compare
Top Goalscorer Pereira J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Crespo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arosa SC 86 / 100
Alondras 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arosa SC Alondras
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arosa SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arosa SC scored in 84% of their last 31 games.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Defensive concern: Alondras conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Arosa SC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Arosa SC VS Alondras
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Arosa SC
(Home) 13 Sept
Arosa SC
0 : 4 Gernika Club
06 Sept
Amorebieta
2 : 2 Arosa SC
01 Aug
Arosa SC
3 : 1 Pontevedra
10 May
Arosa SC
3 : 2 Celtiga
02 May
Cambados
0 : 2 Arosa SC
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Arosa SC
0 : 4 Gernika Club
01 Aug
Arosa SC
3 : 1 Pontevedra
10 May
Arosa SC
3 : 2 Celtiga
26 Apr
Arosa SC
1 : 0 CD Boiro
12 Apr
Arosa SC
0 : 2 Compostela
Page 1 of 4
Alondras
(Away) 13 Sept
Antela
0 : 2 Alondras
05 Sept
Alondras
2 : 6 Pontevedra B
10 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 2 Alondras
03 May
Alondras
1 : 2 Viveiro
26 Apr
Alondras
0 : 4 Lugo B
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Antela
0 : 2 Alondras
10 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 2 Alondras
19 Apr
Gran Pena
0 : 2 Alondras
05 Apr
Celtiga
0 : 1 Alondras
02 Apr
Somozas
2 : 1 Alondras
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arosa SC | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 58:35 | 70 |
| 2 | Compostela | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 55:28 | 68 |
| 3 | Atletico Arteixo | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 54:44 | 58 |
| 4 | Estradense | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 46:33 | 53 |
| 5 | Racing Club Villalbes | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 36:29 | 52 |
| 6 | Gran Pena | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 57:42 | 51 |
| 7 | Somozas | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 37:32 | 51 |
| 8 | CD Boiro | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 45:29 | 51 |
| 9 | Lugo B | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 41:35 | 48 |
| 10 | Montaneros | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 48:42 | 48 |
| 11 | Barco | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 35:41 | 46 |
| 12 | Alondras | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Celtiga | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 47:48 | 40 |
| 14 | Viveiro | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 27:41 | 38 |
| 15 | Silva SD | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36:48 | 36 |
| 16 | Cambados | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 24:43 | 26 |
| 17 | Noia | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 28:57 | 25 |
| 18 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25:69 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
