Sport Picks
Match Events
1'
1'
Pereira J.
19'
19'
Torrado C.
24'
24'
Rey A.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 game between Arosa SC and Alondras finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Arosa SC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Arosa SC come out ahead of Alondras on wins alone.
- Model gives Arosa SC a 50% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Arosa SC Clean Sheet 68%
Alondras Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arosa SC | Alondras |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 4 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arosa SC vs Alondras
2:2
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Arosa SC
0:2
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arosa SC vs Alondras
3:3
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Arosa SC
2:0
Apr 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arosa SC vs Alondras
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arosa SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Torrado C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rey A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Alondras Compare
Top Goalscorer Pereira J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Crespo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arosa SC 59 / 100
Alondras 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arosa SC Alondras
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ARO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arosa SC scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Defensive concern: Alondras conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Arosa SC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Arosa SC VS Alondras
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Arosa SC
(Home) 10 May
Arosa SC
3 : 2 Celtiga
02 May
Cambados
0 : 2 Arosa SC
26 Apr
Arosa SC
1 : 0 CD Boiro
19 Apr
Barco
0 : 1 Arosa SC
12 Apr
Arosa SC
0 : 2 Compostela
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Arosa SC
3 : 2 Celtiga
26 Apr
Arosa SC
1 : 0 CD Boiro
12 Apr
Arosa SC
0 : 2 Compostela
02 Apr
Arosa SC
1 : 1 Racing Club Villalbes
29 Mar
Arosa SC
1 : 0 Somozas
Page 1 of 3
Alondras
(Away) 10 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 2 Alondras
03 May
Alondras
1 : 2 Viveiro
26 Apr
Alondras
0 : 4 Lugo B
19 Apr
Gran Pena
0 : 2 Alondras
12 Apr
Alondras
1 : 1 Silva SD
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 2 Alondras
19 Apr
Gran Pena
0 : 2 Alondras
05 Apr
Celtiga
0 : 1 Alondras
02 Apr
Somozas
2 : 1 Alondras
22 Mar
CD Boiro
1 : 0 Alondras
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arosa SC | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 58:35 | 70 |
| 2 | Compostela | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 55:28 | 68 |
| 3 | Atletico Arteixo | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 54:44 | 58 |
| 4 | Estradense | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 46:33 | 53 |
| 5 | Racing Club Villalbes | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 36:29 | 52 |
| 6 | Gran Pena | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 57:42 | 51 |
| 7 | Somozas | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 37:32 | 51 |
| 8 | CD Boiro | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 45:29 | 51 |
| 9 | Lugo B | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 41:35 | 48 |
| 10 | Montaneros | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 48:42 | 48 |
| 11 | Barco | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 35:41 | 46 |
| 12 | Alondras | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Celtiga | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 47:48 | 40 |
| 14 | Viveiro | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 27:41 | 38 |
| 15 | Silva SD | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36:48 | 36 |
| 16 | Cambados | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 24:43 | 26 |
| 17 | Noia | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 28:57 | 25 |
| 18 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25:69 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)