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Arosa SC vs CD Castro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arosa SC in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arosa SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Arosa SC
35%
Draws
16%
CD Castro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Arosa SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arosa SC lately — more wins on the board than CD Castro.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Arosa SC taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Arosa SC Clean Sheet 20%
CD Castro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arosa SC CD Castro
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.55 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arosa SC vs CD Castro
3:2
Oct 16, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Castro vs Arosa SC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arosa SC 40 / 100
CD Castro 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arosa SC CD Castro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arosa SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arosa SC scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: CD Castro conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Arosa SC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arosa SC VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arosa SC

(Home)
04 Oct
Ourense CF
0 : 0
Arosa SC
27 Sept
Arosa SC
2 : 5
Alaves B
19 Sept
Basconia
2 : 2
Arosa SC
13 Sept
Arosa SC
0 : 4
Gernika Club
06 Sept
Amorebieta
2 : 2
Arosa SC
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CD Castro

(Away)
14 May
Celtiga
3 : 0
CD Castro
07 May
CD Castro
0 : 1
Ribadumia
30 Apr
Deportivo Fabril
4 : 1
CD Castro
23 Apr
CD Castro
1 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
16 Apr
SD Negreira
1 : 0
CD Castro
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