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Arosa SC vs Laracha - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2018/2019
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AI Match Summary

Arosa SC in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arosa SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Arosa SC
35%
Draws
37%
Laracha
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Laracha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Arosa SC have won more games recently than Laracha.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Arosa SC Clean Sheet 26%
Laracha Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arosa SC Laracha
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 6
Draws 9 9
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 1.52 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arosa SC vs Laracha
1:0
Dec 8, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Laracha vs Arosa SC
1:1
Feb 25, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arosa SC vs Laracha
2:0
Oct 8, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Laracha vs Arosa SC
0:0
Feb 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arosa SC vs Laracha
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arosa SC 33 / 100
Laracha 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arosa SC Laracha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Laracha Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arosa SC's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Laracha conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Arosa SC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Laracha's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Arosa SC VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arosa SC

(Home)
04 Oct
Ourense CF
0 : 0
Arosa SC
27 Sept
Arosa SC
2 : 5
Alaves B
19 Sept
Basconia
2 : 2
Arosa SC
13 Sept
Arosa SC
0 : 4
Gernika Club
06 Sept
Amorebieta
2 : 2
Arosa SC
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Laracha

(Away)
19 May
Laracha
0 : 3
Porrino Industrial
12 May
UD Ourense
2 : 2
Laracha
05 May
Laracha
1 : 3
Racing Club Ferrol
01 May
Arosa SC
1 : 0
Laracha
28 Apr
Laracha
5 : 1
Compostela
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Club Ferrol 38 23 9 6 80:35 78
2 Bergantinos 38 22 8 8 58:42 74
3 Compostela 38 20 8 10 80:47 68
4 Alondras 38 19 8 11 47:36 65
5 Barco 38 19 7 12 58:43 64
6 Ourense CF 38 18 10 10 51:24 64
7 CD Choco 38 16 11 11 59:47 59
8 UD Ourense 38 16 11 11 45:39 59
9 Arosa SC 38 17 6 15 57:44 57
10 Lugo B 38 15 7 16 55:53 52
11 Racing Club Villalbes 38 14 10 14 47:48 52
12 Silva SD 38 14 6 18 52:56 48
13 Arenteiro 38 12 11 15 41:53 47
14 Somozas 38 12 10 16 45:52 46
15 Paiosaco 38 12 9 17 46:59 45
16 Celtiga 38 12 5 21 36:66 41
17 Laracha 38 10 10 18 42:49 40
18 Ribadumia 38 9 11 18 41:65 38
19 CD Boiro 38 8 7 23 34:79 31
20 Porrino Industrial 38 7 6 25 37:74 27
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)