Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 game between Arosa SC and Pontellas finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arosa SC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Arosa SC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Arosa SC carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Arosa SC here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Arosa SC Clean Sheet 68%
Pontellas Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arosa SC | Pontellas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 40 | 30 |
| Wins | 23 | 4 |
| Draws | 12 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arosa SC vs Pontellas
2:1
Nov 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontellas vs Arosa SC
0:2
Mar 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontellas vs Arosa SC
0:0
Oct 27, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arosa SC vs Pontellas
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arosa SC 41 / 100
Pontellas 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arosa SC Pontellas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arosa SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arosa SC's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 40 recent games.
Pontellas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Arosa SC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Arosa SC VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Arosa SC
(Home) 19 Sept
Basconia
2 : 2 Arosa SC
13 Sept
Arosa SC
0 : 4 Gernika Club
06 Sept
Amorebieta
2 : 2 Arosa SC
01 Aug
Arosa SC
3 : 1 Pontevedra
10 May
Arosa SC
3 : 2 Celtiga
Page 1 of 8
13 Sept
Arosa SC
0 : 4 Gernika Club
01 Aug
Arosa SC
3 : 1 Pontevedra
10 May
Arosa SC
3 : 2 Celtiga
26 Apr
Arosa SC
1 : 0 CD Boiro
12 Apr
Arosa SC
0 : 2 Compostela
Page 1 of 5
Pontellas
(Away) 19 Jun
Viveiro
1 : 1 Pontellas
13 Jun
Pontellas
1 : 2 Agrupacion Estudiantil
06 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1 Pontellas
30 May
Pontellas
2 : 1 Fisterra
23 May
Paiosaco
2 : 1 Pontellas
Page 1 of 6
19 Jun
Viveiro
1 : 1 Pontellas
06 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1 Pontellas
23 May
Paiosaco
2 : 1 Pontellas
02 May
Agrupacion Estudiantil
2 : 1 Pontellas
18 Apr
Fisterra
2 : 0 Pontellas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bergantinos | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 37:16 | 48 |
| 2 | Lugo B | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 34:17 | 42 |
| 3 | Somozas | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41:21 | 41 |
| 4 | Racing Club Villalbes | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 34:26 | 40 |
| 5 | Deportivo Fabril | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 41:27 | 32 |
| 6 | Silva SD | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 21:20 | 30 |
| 7 | Arzua | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 32:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Viveiro | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 25:39 | 28 |
| 9 | Agrupacion Estudiantil | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27:45 | 20 |
| 10 | CD AS Pontes | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 18:40 | 19 |
| 11 | Fisterra | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 22:35 | 17 |
| 12 | Paiosaco | 22 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 16:39 | 12 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arenteiro | 22 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 33:13 | 47 |
| 2 | Arosa SC | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 27:14 | 41 |
| 3 | Alondras | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 31:15 | 37 |
| 4 | Estradense | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 35:34 | 31 |
| 5 | CD Choco | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28:22 | 31 |
| 6 | Rapido de Bouzas | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 25:25 | 31 |
| 7 | Barco | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 26:27 | 30 |
| 8 | Ourense CF | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 33:29 | 28 |
| 9 | Ribadumia | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 24:36 | 26 |
| 10 | UD Ourense | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25:32 | 25 |
| 11 | Atios | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 18:32 | 20 |
| 12 | Pontellas | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 12:38 | 9 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
