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Arouca vs Maritimo

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arouca in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arouca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Arouca
35%
Draws
19%
Maritimo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Arouca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Arouca at 1.43 per game, Maritimo at 1.13.
  • Win probability leans Arouca's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Arouca Clean Sheet 20%
Maritimo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arouca Maritimo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Liga Portugal
Arouca vs Maritimo
2:1
Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Arouca vs Maritimo
4:1
Apr 8, 2023 Liga Portugal
Arouca vs Maritimo
1:0
Oct 23, 2022 Liga Portugal
Maritimo vs Arouca
1:1
Feb 14, 2022 Liga Portugal
Arouca vs Maritimo
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arouca 85 / 100
Maritimo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arouca Maritimo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arouca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arouca scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Maritimo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Arouca remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arouca VS Maritimo
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Arouca

(Home)
19 Sept
Sporting CP
2 : 2
Arouca
13 Sept
Arouca
1 : 2
Santa Clara
07 Sept
Estoril
0 : 0
Arouca
29 Aug
Arouca
2 : 1
Maritimo
23 Aug
FC Porto
2 : 0
Arouca
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Maritimo

(Away)
19 Sept
Gil Vicente
1 : 1
Maritimo
14 Sept
Moreirense
3 : 1
Maritimo
05 Sept
Maritimo
0 : 3
Benfica
29 Aug
Arouca
2 : 1
Maritimo
22 Aug
Maritimo
2 : 2
Academico Viseu
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