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Arras vs Lens II

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National 2 - Group D 2018/2019
Arras Logo

Arras

1 - 1
FT
Lens II Logo

Lens II

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group D 2018/2019 game between Arras and Lens II finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Arras
30%
Draws
39%
Lens II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lens II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lens II come out ahead of Arras on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular National 2 - Group D 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Arras Clean Sheet 18%
Lens II Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arras Lens II
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 4 7
Draws 11 15
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.15
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2019 National 2 - Group D
Arras vs Lens II
1:1
Nov 10, 2018 National 2 - Group D
Lens II vs Arras
3:2
Mar 14, 2018 National 1 - Group C
Lens II vs Arras
1:2
Sep 2, 2017 National 1 - Group C
Arras vs Lens II
2:3
Mar 15, 2017 National 1 - Group B
Lens II vs Arras
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arras 31 / 100
Lens II 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arras Lens II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arras Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Arras scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Lens II conceded in 76% of 34 recent games.

Recent resilience: Arras stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arras VS Lens II
0 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Arras

(Home)
16 Nov
Arras
0 : 2
Valenciennes
14 Feb
Loon Plage
2 : 1
Arras
07 Feb
Arras
2 : 1
St Quentin
25 May
Fleury-Merogis
5 : 4
Arras
18 May
Arras
3 : 3
Haguenau
Page 1 of 6

Lens II

(Away)
03 Aug
Lens II
4 : 0
Feignies-Aulnoye
29 Jul
Boulogne
2 : 2
Lens II
28 May
Fleury-Merogis
5 : 0
Lens II
21 May
Lens II
2 : 2
Beauvais
14 May
Lens II
1 : 2
St Quentin
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Creteil 30 17 8 5 55:21 59
2 St. Maur Lusitanos 30 13 10 7 55:37 49
3 Sedan 30 12 11 7 39:29 47
4 Lille II 30 13 11 6 48:36 46
5 Sainte-Genevieve 30 13 6 11 38:39 45
6 IC Croix 30 13 4 13 38:44 43
7 Schiltigheim 30 11 9 10 40:38 42
8 Epinal 30 11 9 10 33:37 42
9 Reims II 30 11 8 11 34:36 41
10 Fleury-Merogis 30 9 12 9 48:50 39
11 Lens II 30 10 7 13 46:44 37
12 Belfort 30 8 11 11 24:31 35
13 FC Bobigny 93 30 9 8 13 33:44 34
14 Haguenau 30 7 10 13 35:42 31
15 Feignies-Aulnoye 30 7 10 13 33:43 31
16 Arras 30 3 12 15 35:63 21
Promotion - National 2019/2020 (Main)