Sport Picks
Arronches Benfica vs Os Marialvas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 game between Arronches Benfica and Os Marialvas finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arronches Benfica.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Arronches Benfica have managed 1.1 goals a game lately — Os Marialvas are scoring more at 1.3.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Os Marialvas taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arronches Benfica | Os Marialvas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 37 |
| Wins | 15 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.7 | 0.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arronches Benfica Compare
Os Marialvas Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Arronches Benfica scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Os Marialvas has conceded goals in 65% of their last 37 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Arronches Benfica stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Arronches Benfica
(Home)Os Marialvas
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O Elvas CAD | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 41:10 | 65 |
| 2 | Fatima | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 30:12 | 49 |
| 3 | Arronches Benfica | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 27:17 | 48 |
| 4 | GD Peniche | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 31:23 | 39 |
| 5 | Os Marialvas | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 30:28 | 37 |
| 6 | Mortagua FC | 26 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 23:21 | 37 |
| 7 | Marinhense | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 24:21 | 36 |
| 8 | Alverca B | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28:25 | 35 |
| 9 | SB Castelo Branco | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 23:21 | 34 |
| 10 | SC Pombal | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 29:34 | 32 |
| 11 | Uniao de Coimbra | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 26:44 | 25 |
| 12 | Sertanense | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23:33 | 21 |
| 13 | Alcains | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17:36 | 18 |
| 14 | Pero Pinheiro | 26 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 12:39 | 12 |
