Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Cortes Gallego K.
12'
12'
Vizcaino I. N.
53'
53'
Aruna G.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Arroyo average 0.83 goals a game right now, well clear of CD Calamonte's 0.69.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Arroyo Clean Sheet 20%
CD Calamonte Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arroyo | CD Calamonte |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 20 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 0.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Arroyo vs CD Calamonte
2:2
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs Arroyo
0:1
Mar 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Arroyo vs CD Calamonte
1:3
Oct 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs Arroyo
0:0
Apr 6, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs Arroyo
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arroyo Compare
Top Goalscorer Cortes Gallego K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vizcaino I. N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
CD Calamonte Compare
Top Goalscorer Aruna G.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arroyo 32 / 100
CD Calamonte 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arroyo CD Calamonte
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Calamonte Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: CD Calamonte conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
CD Calamonte lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Arroyo scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS CD Calamonte
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Arroyo
(Home) 11 May
Arroyo
2 : 2 CD Calamonte
04 May
Montijo
1 : 0 Arroyo
27 Apr
Arroyo
1 : 4 SP Villafranca
17 Apr
Moralo
5 : 0 Arroyo
13 Apr
Arroyo
1 : 2 CD Diocesano
Page 1 of 6
11 May
Arroyo
2 : 2 CD Calamonte
27 Apr
Arroyo
1 : 4 SP Villafranca
13 Apr
Arroyo
1 : 2 CD Diocesano
30 Mar
Arroyo
2 : 2 Castuera
16 Mar
Arroyo
1 : 2 Pueblonuevo
Page 1 of 3
CD Calamonte
(Away) 09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1 CD Calamonte
03 May
CD Calamonte
0 : 3 CD Badajoz
26 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 0 CD Calamonte
19 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 3 Montijo
12 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1 CD Calamonte
Page 1 of 7
09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1 CD Calamonte
26 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 0 CD Calamonte
12 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1 CD Calamonte
29 Mar
SP Villafranca
1 : 0 CD Calamonte
15 Mar
Santa Amalia
2 : 1 CD Calamonte
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 73:22 | 75 |
| 2 | CD Azuaga | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 65:28 | 71 |
| 3 | Jaraiz | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 65:40 | 69 |
| 4 | AD Llerenense | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 58:28 | 68 |
| 5 | CD Badajoz | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 54:20 | 63 |
| 6 | CD Diocesano | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 58:38 | 58 |
| 7 | Santa Amalia | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 31:31 | 54 |
| 8 | Jerez CF | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 50:48 | 51 |
| 9 | SP Villafranca | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 55:55 | 47 |
| 10 | Moralo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 52:50 | 46 |
| 11 | Montijo | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 35:34 | 45 |
| 12 | Pueblonuevo | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42:71 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Calamonte | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 36:48 | 33 |
| 14 | Puebla de la Calzada | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 35:56 | 32 |
| 15 | Castuera | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 46:64 | 29 |
| 16 | CF Trujillo | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 32:63 | 28 |
| 17 | Arroyo | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 32:70 | 22 |
| 18 | Olivenza FC | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 26:79 | 17 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
