Sport Picks
Arroyo vs CD Santa Marta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010 
AI Match Summary
Arroyo in this Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arroyo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Santa Marta
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Arroyo haven't matched CD Santa Marta's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Arroyo have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Arroyo Clean Sheet 16%
CD Santa Marta Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arroyo | CD Santa Marta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 20 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.85 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 13, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Santa Marta vs Arroyo
0:2
Oct 24, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Arroyo vs CD Santa Marta
1:0
Jan 31, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Arroyo vs CD Santa Marta
5:0
Sep 20, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Santa Marta vs Arroyo
2:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arroyo 36 / 100
CD Santa Marta 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arroyo CD Santa Marta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Santa Marta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CD Santa Marta has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.
CD Santa Marta's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Arroyo scored in 59% of their last 32 games.
Scoring Trends
Arroyo VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Arroyo
(Home) 11 May
Arroyo
2 : 2 CD Calamonte
04 May
Montijo
1 : 0 Arroyo
27 Apr
Arroyo
1 : 4 SP Villafranca
17 Apr
Moralo
5 : 0 Arroyo
13 Apr
Arroyo
1 : 2 CD Diocesano
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11 May
Arroyo
2 : 2 CD Calamonte
27 Apr
Arroyo
1 : 4 SP Villafranca
13 Apr
Arroyo
1 : 2 CD Diocesano
30 Mar
Arroyo
2 : 2 Castuera
16 Mar
Arroyo
1 : 2 Pueblonuevo
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CD Santa Marta
(Away) 15 May
CD Santa Marta
0 : 2 Sp. Villanueva
07 May
Moralo
2 : 1 CD Santa Marta
30 Apr
CD Santa Marta
1 : 0 Sanvicenteno
21 Apr
UD Badajoz
4 : 0 CD Santa Marta
17 Apr
CD Santa Marta
2 : 4 Valdelacalzada
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07 May
Moralo
2 : 1 CD Santa Marta
21 Apr
UD Badajoz
4 : 0 CD Santa Marta
10 Apr
Ciduad de Plasencia
1 : 0 CD Santa Marta
20 Mar
Atletico San Jose Promesas
1 : 2 CD Santa Marta
06 Mar
CD Coria
1 : 0 CD Santa Marta
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Badajoz | 38 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 109:19 | 101 |
| 2 | Jerez CF | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 77:14 | 89 |
| 3 | Extremadura UD | 38 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 77:26 | 79 |
| 4 | Arroyo | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 72:43 | 74 |
| 5 | Merida UD | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 55:28 | 72 |
| 6 | Sp. Villanueva | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 71:50 | 67 |
| 7 | Ciduad de Plasencia | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 54:49 | 57 |
| 8 | Don Benito | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 48:50 | 53 |
| 9 | Sanvicenteno | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 47:49 | 51 |
| 10 | Imperio Merida | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 59:56 | 47 |
| 11 | Olivenza CP | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 34:45 | 47 |
| 12 | Miajadas | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 28:42 | 44 |
| 13 | UD Badajoz | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 54:68 | 43 |
| 14 | Moralo | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 40:52 | 43 |
| 15 | Valdelacalzada | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 35:54 | 40 |
| 16 | CD Coria | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 50:76 | 34 |
| 17 | CD Santa Marta | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 43:70 | 31 |
| 18 | Montehermoso | 38 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 31:79 | 30 |
| 19 | La Estrella | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 27:84 | 27 |
| 20 | SP Villafranca | 38 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 30:87 | 23 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
