Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010

Arroyo

5 - 0

CD Santa Marta

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Arroyo in this Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arroyo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Arroyo

44%

Draws

20%

CD Santa Marta

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Arroyo haven't matched CD Santa Marta's recent run of results.
Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 4 times recently and Arroyo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

Arroyo Clean Sheet 16%

CD Santa Marta Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Arroyo	CD Santa Marta
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	5	7
Draws	7	6
Losses	20	17
Goals Scored	0.5	0
Goals Conceded	2	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

CD Santa Marta vs Arroyo

Possession: 59% - 45% Cards: 3 - 1

0:2

Oct 24, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Arroyo vs CD Santa Marta

Possession: 41% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Jan 31, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Arroyo vs CD Santa Marta

Possession: 50% - 52% Cards: 0 - 0

5:0

Sep 20, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

CD Santa Marta vs Arroyo

Possession: 59% - 42% Cards: 4 - 4

2:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arroyo 36 / 100

CD Santa Marta 21 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Arroyo CD Santa Marta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Santa Marta has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

CD Santa Marta's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Arroyo scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Arroyo VS -

0.5 Goals Scored 0

2 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CD Badajoz	38	32	5	1	109:19	101
2	Jerez CF	38	27	8	3	77:14	89
3	Extremadura UD	38	24	7	7	77:26	79
4	Arroyo	38	22	8	8	72:43	74
5	Merida UD	38	21	9	8	55:28	72
6	Sp. Villanueva	38	18	13	7	71:50	67
7	Ciduad de Plasencia	38	16	9	13	54:49	57
8	Don Benito	38	15	8	15	48:50	53
9	Sanvicenteno	38	13	12	13	47:49	51
10	Imperio Merida	38	11	14	13	59:56	47
11	Olivenza CP	38	12	11	15	34:45	47
12	Miajadas	38	12	8	18	28:42	44
13	UD Badajoz	38	12	7	19	54:68	43
14	Moralo	38	12	7	19	40:52	43
15	Valdelacalzada	38	9	13	16	35:54	40
16	CD Coria	38	8	10	20	50:76	34
17	CD Santa Marta	38	8	7	23	43:70	31
18	Montehermoso	38	8	6	24	31:79	30
19	La Estrella	38	6	9	23	27:84	27
20	SP Villafranca	38	6	5	27	30:87	23