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Arroyo vs Olivenza CP - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arroyo in this Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 7-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arroyo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Arroyo
30%
Draws
58%
Olivenza CP
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Olivenza CP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Olivenza CP have won more games recently than Arroyo.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Olivenza CP taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Arroyo have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Arroyo Clean Sheet 16%
Olivenza CP Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arroyo Olivenza CP
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 4 6
Draws 7 9
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 0.97 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.16 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Olivenza CP vs Arroyo
3:5
Sep 8, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Arroyo vs Olivenza CP
4:0
Feb 14, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Arroyo vs Olivenza CP
7:0
Oct 4, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Olivenza CP vs Arroyo
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arroyo 10 / 100
Olivenza CP 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arroyo Olivenza CP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olivenza CP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olivenza CP's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Arroyo scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Arroyo remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arroyo VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arroyo

(Home)
11 May
Arroyo
2 : 2
CD Calamonte
04 May
Montijo
1 : 0
Arroyo
27 Apr
Arroyo
1 : 4
SP Villafranca
17 Apr
Moralo
5 : 0
Arroyo
13 Apr
Arroyo
1 : 2
CD Diocesano
Page 1 of 7

Olivenza CP

(Away)
25 Jul
Olivenza CP
2 : 5
Don Benito
14 May
Olivenza CP
1 : 1
Miajadas
08 May
UP Plasencia
1 : 0
Olivenza CP
30 Apr
Olivenza CP
1 : 1
Diter Zafra
21 Apr
Imperio Merida
1 : 4
Olivenza CP
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Badajoz 38 32 5 1 109:19 101
2 Jerez CF 38 27 8 3 77:14 89
3 Extremadura UD 38 24 7 7 77:26 79
4 Arroyo 38 22 8 8 72:43 74
5 Merida UD 38 21 9 8 55:28 72
6 Sp. Villanueva 38 18 13 7 71:50 67
7 Ciduad de Plasencia 38 16 9 13 54:49 57
8 Don Benito 38 15 8 15 48:50 53
9 Sanvicenteno 38 13 12 13 47:49 51
10 Imperio Merida 38 11 14 13 59:56 47
11 Olivenza CP 38 12 11 15 34:45 47
12 Miajadas 38 12 8 18 28:42 44
13 UD Badajoz 38 12 7 19 54:68 43
14 Moralo 38 12 7 19 40:52 43
15 Valdelacalzada 38 9 13 16 35:54 40
16 CD Coria 38 8 10 20 50:76 34
17 CD Santa Marta 38 8 7 23 43:70 31
18 Montehermoso 38 8 6 24 31:79 30
19 La Estrella 38 6 9 23 27:84 27
20 SP Villafranca 38 6 5 27 30:87 23
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)