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Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Dnepr Mogilev - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Haradski Stadium, Barysaw
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk host Dnepr Mogilev in the Vysshaya Liga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk at 1.13 goals for, 1.61 against; Dnepr Mogilev at 1.07 for, 1.72 against. Head-to-head, Arsenal Dzerzhinsk have won 3 to Dnepr Mogilev's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 14, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.75, favoring Arsenal Dzerzhinsk. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
35%
Draws
32%
Dnepr Mogilev
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Dnepr Mogilev haven't matched Arsenal Dzerzhinsk's recent run of results.
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Clean Sheet 12%
Dnepr Mogilev Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Dnepr Mogilev
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 8 5
Draws 9 10
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0:1
Aug 11, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
3:1
Mar 29, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0:0
Oct 1, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2:0
May 28, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 30 / 100
Dnepr Mogilev 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Dnepr Mogilev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dnepr Mogilev Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Dnepr Mogilev let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk VS Dnepr Mogilev
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

(Home)
09 Oct
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 1
Dynamo Brest
03 Oct
FC Minsk
0 : 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
18 Sept
ML Vitebsk
5 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
12 Sept
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 0
FK Baranovici
07 Sept
Isloch Minsk
1 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
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Dnepr Mogilev

(Away)
20 Sept
Dynamo Brest
4 : 2
Dnepr Mogilev
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1
ML Vitebsk
06 Sept
FK Baranovici
2 : 1
Dnepr Mogilev
30 Aug
Dnepr Mogilev
0 : 0
Isloch Minsk
24 Aug
Zhodino
0 : 0
Dnepr Mogilev
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isloch Minsk 22 13 6 3 37:18 45
2 ML Vitebsk 21 12 8 1 42:17 44
3 Din. Minsk 21 13 4 4 37:16 43
4 Dynamo Brest 24 13 4 7 39:23 43
5 Neman 23 12 4 7 29:20 40
6 FC Gomel 23 11 6 6 33:18 39
7 Vitebsk 23 10 6 7 28:21 36
8 FC Minsk 24 10 4 10 30:29 34
9 Zhodino 23 8 6 9 29:29 30
10 Slavia Mozyr 23 6 7 10 24:28 25
11 FK Baranovici 24 6 7 11 24:41 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 24 5 8 11 24:42 23
13 BATE 23 4 9 10 18:28 21
14 Belshina 23 5 6 12 23:40 21
15 Naftan 24 4 5 15 24:55 17
16 Dnepr Mogilev 23 2 10 11 20:36 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)