Sport Picks
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Vitebsk
Belarus
Vysshaya Liga Haradski Stadium 
AI Match Summary
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk host Vitebsk in the Vysshaya Liga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Vitebsk have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Arsenal Dzerzhinsk have conceded 1.75 and scored 1.25. Past meetings favor Arsenal Dzerzhinsk slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 4, 2025, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.31, favoring Arsenal Dzerzhinsk. Arsenal Dzerzhinsk in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Arsenal Dzerzhinsk come out ahead of Vitebsk on wins alone.
- Arsenal Dzerzhinsk are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Vitebsk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vitebsk let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Away concern: Vitebsk has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Din. Minsk | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 23:12 | 30 |
| 2 | ML Vitebsk | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 26:11 | 28 |
| 3 | Isloch Minsk | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22:10 | 25 |
| 4 | Zhodino | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23:10 | 23 |
| 5 | FC Gomel | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 6 | Neman | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 7 | FC Minsk | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:16 | 19 |
| 8 | Dynamo Brest | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:12 | 18 |
| 9 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 17:18 | 18 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 11:14 | 15 |
| 11 | Vitebsk | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:16 | 14 |
| 12 | FK Baranovici | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:25 | 12 |
| 13 | Dnepr Mogilev | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:19 | 11 |
| 14 | Belshina | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12:25 | 10 |
| 15 | BATE | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 16 | Naftan | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8:27 | 6 |