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Arsenal EC U20 vs Uniao Carmolandense U20

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Tocantinense U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arsenal EC U20 play Uniao Carmolandense U20 in the Tocantinense U20 2024. Uniao Carmolandense U20 are favorites here. Recently, Arsenal EC U20 averaged 0.33 goals scored and 3 conceded. Uniao Carmolandense U20 averaged 2.06 goals scored and 0.91 conceded. In past meetings, Arsenal EC U20 won 0, Uniao Carmolandense U20 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 4, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.78 for Arsenal EC U20 and 2.25 for Uniao Carmolandense U20. This points to a Uniao Carmolandense U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Arsenal EC U20
23%
Draws
68%
Uniao Carmolandense U20
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Uniao Carmolandense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Arsenal EC U20 picked up more points recently compared to Uniao Carmolandense U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.78 vs 2.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Arsenal EC U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Uniao Carmolandense U20 Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal EC U20 Uniao Carmolandense U20
Matches Played 9 34
Wins 0 21
Draws 3 7
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 0.33 2.06
Goals Conceded 3 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Tocantinense U20
Arsenal EC U20 vs Uniao Carmolandense U20
1:1
Apr 21, 2024 Tocantinense U20
Arsenal EC U20 vs Uniao Carmolandense U20
0:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal EC U20 10 / 100
Uniao Carmolandense U20 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal EC U20 Uniao Carmolandense U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uniao Carmolandense U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Uniao Carmolandense U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +800%
100.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Arsenal EC U20 attacking → ← attacking Uniao Carmolandense U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal EC U20 scored in 33% of their last 9 games.

Uniao Carmolandense U20 let in goals in 59% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Arsenal EC U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Uniao Carmolandense U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 70
0.67 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
3.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Capital FC U20541028:213
2Batalhao U20541021:313
3Interporto U20530223:79
4Gurupi U20520321:96
5Sao Jose U2050143:291
6Alvorada U2050142:481
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Araguacema U20541012:513
2Guarai SC U2053209:311
3Uniao EC U20530211:69
4Tocantins U2052126:77
5Paraiso EC U2051048:103
6Central Tocantinense U2050052:170
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Uniao Carmolandense U20523011:59
2Tocantinopolis U2052306:49
3SD Sparta U2052219:48
4Araguaina U2052039:76
5Bela Vista U2051224:55
6Arsenal EC U2050231:152