Sport Picks

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Arsenal Sarandi vs Ituzaingo

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona, Avellaneda
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Kestler I.
41'
Sub
Schiavulli T. In: Cabrera I.
Out: Schiavulli T.
46'
Sub
Ibanez E. In: Mena L.
Out: Ibanez E.

AI Match Summary

Arsenal Sarandi in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arsenal Sarandi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Arsenal Sarandi
15%
Draws
7%
Ituzaingo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arsenal Sarandi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arsenal Sarandi lately — more wins on the board than Ituzaingo.
  • Arsenal Sarandi are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Arsenal Sarandi Clean Sheet 68%
Ituzaingo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Sarandi Ituzaingo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 1
Draws 10 9
Losses 5 19
Goals Scored 1.24 0.69
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Primera B
Arsenal Sarandi vs Ituzaingo
2:0
Apr 14, 2026 Primera B
Ituzaingo vs Arsenal Sarandi
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal Sarandi Compare

Top Goalscorer Kestler I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cabral D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Ituzaingo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Sarandi 68 / 100
Ituzaingo 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Sarandi Ituzaingo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arsenal Sarandi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Sarandi scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Ituzaingo conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Arsenal Sarandi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Ituzaingo has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Sarandi VS Ituzaingo
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal Sarandi

(Home)
26 Sept
Arsenal Sarandi
2 : 0
CSD Liniers
19 Sept
Real Pilar
2 : 1
Arsenal Sarandi
12 Sept
Arsenal Sarandi
2 : 0
UAI Urquiza
05 Sept
Villa Dalmine
0 : 1
Arsenal Sarandi
29 Aug
Arsenal Sarandi
3 : 0
Excursionistas
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Ituzaingo

(Away)
25 Sept
Ituzaingo
0 : 1
Defensores Unidos
19 Sept
Villa Dalmine
3 : 1
Ituzaingo
11 Sept
Ituzaingo
2 : 2
Comunicaciones
07 Sept
Excursionistas
2 : 1
Ituzaingo
29 Aug
Ituzaingo
0 : 2
Dock Sud
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 37 22 8 7 59:29 74
2 Arsenal Sarandi 37 19 12 6 50:24 69
3 Talleres Remedios Escalada 37 19 10 8 40:21 67
4 Villa Dalmine 36 17 12 7 38:21 63
5 Deportivo Camioneros 37 17 12 8 42:27 63
6 Sportivo Italiano 37 17 11 9 43:28 62
7 Real Pilar 37 16 10 11 40:38 58
8 Deportivo Armenio 37 16 9 12 39:38 57
9 Comunicaciones 36 14 11 11 38:33 53
10 Laferrere 37 12 12 13 44:49 48
11 San Martin Burzaco 37 11 14 12 37:40 47
12 Dock Sud 36 10 14 12 38:38 44
13 Villa San Carlos 37 10 14 13 36:39 44
14 Argentino de Merlo 37 11 11 15 32:37 44
15 Dep. Merlo 37 10 13 14 36:51 43
16 Argentino de Quilmes 36 9 14 13 29:36 41
17 Defensores Unidos 37 9 13 15 32:38 40
18 CSD Liniers 37 9 13 15 30:39 40
19 Flandria 36 10 8 18 32:45 38
20 Brown Adrogue 37 8 14 15 24:37 38
21 UAI Urquiza 36 4 19 13 18:33 31
22 Ituzaingo 37 1 12 24 23:59 15
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)