Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arsenal Tivat vs Decic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Montenegro Montenegro

Prva Crnogorska Liga Stadion u Parku, Tivat
Thu, Oct 8, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arsenal Tivat host Decic in the Prva Crnogorska Liga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Decic have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Arsenal Tivat have conceded 1.68 and scored 0.89. Head-to-head, Arsenal Tivat have won 1 to Decic's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 8, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 1.13, favoring Decic. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Arsenal Tivat
20%
Draws
50%
Decic
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Decic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Arsenal Tivat haven't matched Decic's recent run of results.
  • Arsenal Tivat are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Prva Crnogorska Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Arsenal Tivat Clean Sheet 20%
Decic Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Tivat Decic
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.89 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.68 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Arsenal Tivat vs Decic
0:0
Aug 2, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Decic vs Arsenal Tivat
0:0
Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Decic vs Arsenal Tivat
4:1
May 20, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Decic vs Arsenal Tivat
1:2
Mar 21, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Arsenal Tivat vs Decic
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Tivat 36 / 100
Decic 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Tivat Decic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Tivat scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Decic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Arsenal Tivat went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Tivat VS Decic
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal Tivat

(Home)
19 Sept
Arsenal Tivat
0 : 2
Sutjeska
14 Sept
Petrovac
1 : 2
Arsenal Tivat
10 Sept
Arsenal Tivat
0 : 1
Mladost DG
05 Sept
Jezero
5 : 2
Arsenal Tivat
30 Aug
Arsenal Tivat
1 : 2
Otrant
Page 1 of 6

Decic

(Away)
20 Sept
Decic
1 : 1
Mornar Bar
13 Sept
Sutjeska
2 : 0
Decic
09 Sept
Decic
1 : 1
Petrovac
05 Sept
Mladost DG
2 : 0
Decic
30 Aug
Decic
2 : 1
Jezero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Otrant 9 5 1 3 15:10 16
2 Decic 9 4 3 2 10:7 15
3 Bokelj 9 4 3 2 8:5 15
4 Buducnost 9 4 2 3 11:7 14
5 Sutjeska 9 4 2 3 11:7 14
6 Mornar Bar 9 3 4 2 9:7 13
7 Mladost DG 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
8 Jezero 9 2 3 4 9:15 9
9 Petrovac 9 1 5 3 7:9 8
10 Arsenal Tivat 9 1 4 4 5:11 7
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Druga Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Druga Liga 2027/2028 (Main)