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Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Montenegro Montenegro

Prva Crnogorska Liga Stadion u Parku, Tivat
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Nikolic J.
43'
Mandic S.
45' Event
Jovanovic A.

AI Match Summary

Mladost DG in this Prva Crnogorska Liga matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mladost DG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Arsenal Tivat
15%
Draws
49%
Mladost DG
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mladost DG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Mladost DG have won more games recently than Arsenal Tivat.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Arsenal Tivat Clean Sheet 20%
Mladost DG Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Tivat Mladost DG
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 0.89 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG
0:1
Jul 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG
1:0
May 24, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG
1:4
Apr 4, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mladost DG vs Arsenal Tivat
1:2
Dec 6, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal Tivat Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Mladost DG Compare

Top Goalscorer Jovanovic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Tivat 32 / 100
Mladost DG 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Tivat Mladost DG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mladost DG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mladost DG conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Arsenal Tivat's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Mladost DG lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Tivat VS Mladost DG
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal Tivat

(Home)
19 Sept
Arsenal Tivat
0 : 2
Sutjeska
14 Sept
Petrovac
1 : 2
Arsenal Tivat
10 Sept
Arsenal Tivat
0 : 1
Mladost DG
05 Sept
Jezero
5 : 2
Arsenal Tivat
30 Aug
Arsenal Tivat
1 : 2
Otrant
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Mladost DG

(Away)
08 Oct
Otrant
2 : 2
Mladost DG
02 Oct
Mladost DG
1 : 5
Mornar Bar
28 Sept
Petrovac
0 : 1
Mladost DG
20 Sept
Bokelj
3 : 0
Mladost DG
14 Sept
Mladost DG
0 : 2
Buducnost
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Otrant 10 5 2 3 17:12 17
2 Decic 9 4 3 2 10:7 15
3 Bokelj 9 4 3 2 8:5 15
4 Buducnost 9 4 2 3 11:7 14
5 Sutjeska 9 4 2 3 11:7 14
6 Mornar Bar 10 3 5 2 12:10 14
7 Mladost DG 10 3 2 5 10:17 11
8 Jezero 10 2 4 4 12:18 10
9 Petrovac 9 1 5 3 7:9 8
10 Arsenal Tivat 9 1 4 4 5:11 7
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Druga Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Druga Liga 2027/2028 (Main)