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Arsenal (TO) vs Araguacema

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Tocantinense 2 2024
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AI Match Summary

Araguacema in this Tocantinense 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Araguacema.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Arsenal (TO)
6%
Draws
90%
Araguacema
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Araguacema

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Araguacema have won more games recently than Arsenal (TO).
  • Win probability leans Araguacema's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tocantinense 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Arsenal (TO) Clean Sheet 16%
Araguacema Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal (TO) Araguacema
Matches Played 12 30
Wins 1 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 0.2 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.20 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.80 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2024 Tocantinense 2
Arsenal (TO) vs Araguacema
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal (TO) 10 / 100
Araguacema 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal (TO) Araguacema

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal (TO)'s goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

Araguacema let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Araguacema registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal (TO) VS Araguacema
0.2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.8 Goals Conceded 1.63
60% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 63%
20% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Batalhao642022:514
2Interporto633016:512
3Araguaia (TO)63219:511
4Sao Jose (TO)632111:1011
5Alvorada62137:97
6Taquarussu61054:213
7Uniao de Palmas60064:180
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bela Vista-TO541017:113
2SD Sparta532010:211
3Guarai SC530212:69
4Araguacema521210:77
5Arsenal (TO)40041:90
6Colinas40041:260