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Arsenal Tula 2 vs FC Oryol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arsenal Tula 2 host FC Oryol in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. FC Oryol have shipped 1.94 goals a game lately, while Arsenal Tula 2 have conceded 1.79 and scored 1.1. Head-to-head, Arsenal Tula 2 have won 1 to FC Oryol's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 20, 2026, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 0.69, favoring FC Oryol. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Arsenal Tula 2
20%
Draws
60%
FC Oryol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Oryol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • FC Oryol carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Arsenal Tula 2's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Arsenal Tula 2 Clean Sheet 20%
FC Oryol Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Tula 2 FC Oryol
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 4 9
Draws 10 5
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.1 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FC Oryol vs Arsenal Tula 2
4:1
Sep 27, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FC Oryol vs Arsenal Tula 2
1:2
Jun 8, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs FC Oryol
0:0
Aug 25, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs FC Oryol
1:3
May 12, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FC Oryol vs Arsenal Tula 2
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Tula 2 42 / 100
FC Oryol 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Tula 2 FC Oryol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Oryol let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

FC Oryol's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Arsenal Tula 2 scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Tula 2 VS FC Oryol
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal Tula 2

(Home)
03 Oct
Rodina Moscow 3
1 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
27 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
0 : 0
M. Lipetsk
19 Sept
Penza
0 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 2
Saturn Ramenskoye
06 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 2
Strogino Moscow
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FC Oryol

(Away)
03 Oct
FC Oryol
1 : 0
Strogino Moscow
26 Sept
SKA Khabarovsk 2
0 : 2
FC Oryol
17 Sept
FC Oryol
0 : 2
FK Shumbrat Saransk
12 Sept
Spartak Tambov
3 : 0
FC Oryol
05 Sept
Kursk
3 : 2
FC Oryol
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