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Arsenal Tula 2 vs Kursk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Sun, Aug 9, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arsenal Tula 2 host Kursk in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Kursk have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Arsenal Tula 2 have conceded 2.88 and scored 0.75. Head-to-head, Arsenal Tula 2 have won 1 to Kursk's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 2.38) point toward Kursk. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Arsenal Tula 2
6%
Draws
90%
Kursk
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kursk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kursk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Kursk's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Arsenal Tula 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Kursk Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Tula 2 Kursk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Kursk vs Arsenal Tula 2
1:0
Oct 30, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs Kursk
2:2
Sep 4, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
Kursk vs Arsenal Tula 2
2:2
Oct 4, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs Kursk
0:2
Jul 24, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 3
Kursk vs Arsenal Tula 2
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Tula 2 10 / 100
Kursk 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Tula 2 Kursk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AVA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Arsenal Tula 2 scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Kursk conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Kursk lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Tula 2 VS Kursk
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal Tula 2

(Home)
26 Jul
Arsenal Tula 2
0 : 5
Ryazan
04 Jul
Kvant Obninsk
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula 2
28 Jun
Arsenal Tula 2
0 : 4
Salyut-Belgorod
20 Jun
FC Oryol
4 : 1
Arsenal Tula 2
14 Jun
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 1
Rodina Moscow 3
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Kursk

(Away)
25 Jul
Kursk
1 : 2
SKA Khabarovsk 2
04 Jul
Kursk
0 : 2
Spartak Tambov
27 Jun
Kursk
6 : 3
Saturn Ramenskoye
20 Jun
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
2 : 0
Kursk
13 Jun
Kursk
0 : 0
Ryazan
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