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Arsenal Tula 2 vs Kursk

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FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Kuzin A.
64' Event
Borisov S.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 game between Arsenal Tula 2 and Kursk finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Arsenal Tula 2
35%
Draws
41%
Kursk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kursk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

24% / Low Confidence
  • Kursk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Arsenal Tula 2 Clean Sheet 68%
Kursk Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Tula 2 Kursk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 9
Draws 11 9
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs Kursk
1:1
Apr 18, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Kursk vs Arsenal Tula 2
1:0
Oct 30, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs Kursk
2:2
Sep 4, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
Kursk vs Arsenal Tula 2
2:2
Oct 4, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs Kursk
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal Tula 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuzin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Kursk Compare

Top Goalscorer Borisov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Tula 2 41 / 100
Kursk 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Tula 2 Kursk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arsenal Tula 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kursk has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Arsenal Tula 2 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Arsenal Tula 2 scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Tula 2 VS Kursk
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal Tula 2

(Home)
27 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
0 : 0
M. Lipetsk
19 Sept
Penza
0 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 2
Saturn Ramenskoye
06 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 2
Strogino Moscow
29 Aug
SKA Khabarovsk 2
0 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
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Kursk

(Away)
26 Sept
Kursk
1 : 1
R. Volgograd 2
21 Sept
Kvant Obninsk
1 : 1
Kursk
12 Sept
Kursk
1 : 3
Salyut-Belgorod
05 Sept
Kursk
3 : 2
FC Oryol
29 Aug
Kursk
0 : 2
Rodina Moscow 3
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