Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Glushkov N.
22'
22'
Poyarkov N.
26'
26'
Plotnikov D.
AI Match Summary
The FNL game between Arsenal Tula and R. Volgograd finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arsenal Tula.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: R. Volgograd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- R. Volgograd carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives R. Volgograd a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Arsenal Tula Clean Sheet 14%
R. Volgograd Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arsenal Tula | R. Volgograd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 14 |
| Draws | 11 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 20, 2026 FNL
Arsenal Tula vs R. Volgograd
2:1
May 4, 2026 FNL
Arsenal Tula vs R. Volgograd
2:2
Nov 3, 2025 FNL
R. Volgograd vs Arsenal Tula
1:2
Apr 27, 2025 FNL
Arsenal Tula vs R. Volgograd
1:1
Jul 29, 2024 FNL
R. Volgograd vs Arsenal Tula
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arsenal Tula Compare
Top Goalscorer Glushkov N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Magomedov R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
R. Volgograd Compare
Top Goalscorer Umnikov M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arsenal Tula 23 / 100
R. Volgograd 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arsenal Tula R. Volgograd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick R. Volgograd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arsenal Tula scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
R. Volgograd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Arsenal Tula went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Arsenal Tula VS R. Volgograd
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Arsenal Tula
(Home) 04 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 1 Arsenal Tula
26 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 2 Arsenal Tula
16 Sept
Yenisey
3 : 1 Arsenal Tula
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2 SKA Khabarovsk
08 Sept
Tekstilshtik
1 : 0 Arsenal Tula
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2 SKA Khabarovsk
29 Aug
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2 Ural
20 Aug
Arsenal Tula
2 : 1 R. Volgograd
02 Aug
Arsenal Tula
1 : 0 Torpedo Moscow
19 Jul
Arsenal Tula
0 : 1 Neftekhimik
Page 1 of 3
R. Volgograd
(Away) 17 Sept
Tekstilshtik
0 : 2 R. Volgograd
13 Sept
R. Volgograd
4 : 0 Yenisey
09 Sept
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
2 : 0 R. Volgograd
05 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 2 R. Volgograd
31 Aug
S. Kostroma
1 : 0 R. Volgograd
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Tekstilshtik
0 : 2 R. Volgograd
09 Sept
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
2 : 0 R. Volgograd
05 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 2 R. Volgograd
31 Aug
S. Kostroma
1 : 0 R. Volgograd
20 Aug
Arsenal Tula
2 : 1 R. Volgograd
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 36:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Ural | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 20:6 | 25 |
| 3 | S. Kostroma | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16:10 | 24 |
| 4 | PFC Sochi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 5 | Veles Moscow | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:16 | 23 |
| 6 | Torpedo Moscow | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21:9 | 21 |
| 7 | Ufa | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:13 | 18 |
| 8 | R. Volgograd | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 15:13 | 16 |
| 10 | Yenisey | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Ulyanovsk | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 12 | Arsenal Tula | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:22 | 13 |
| 13 | Leningradets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:20 | 13 |
| 14 | Neftekhimik | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 7:15 | 12 |
| 15 | Chelyabinsk | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 16 | Kamaz | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:19 | 9 |
| 17 | Tekstilshtik | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8:19 | 7 |
| 18 | SKA Khabarovsk | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11:23 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
