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Arsenal Tula vs S. Kostroma

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Trialist D
66' Event
Bogdanets K.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Arsenal Tula and S. Kostroma finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Arsenal Tula
15%
Draws
64%
S. Kostroma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: S. Kostroma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • S. Kostroma carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans S. Kostroma's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Arsenal Tula Clean Sheet 16%
S. Kostroma Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Tula S. Kostroma
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 12 11
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.1 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Arsenal Tula vs S. Kostroma
1:1
Apr 25, 2026 FNL
S. Kostroma vs Arsenal Tula
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 FNL
Arsenal Tula vs S. Kostroma
1:2
Oct 31, 2006 FNL 2 - Group 2
S. Kostroma vs Arsenal Tula
2:0
Jul 23, 2006 FNL 2 - Group 2
Arsenal Tula vs S. Kostroma
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal Tula Compare

Top Goalscorer Bogdanets K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

S. Kostroma Compare

Top Goalscorer Trialist D
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Tula 11 / 100
S. Kostroma 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Tula S. Kostroma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick S. Kostroma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Tula scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: S. Kostroma conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Arsenal Tula has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Tula VS S. Kostroma
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal Tula

(Home)
26 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 2
Arsenal Tula
16 Sept
Yenisey
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2
SKA Khabarovsk
08 Sept
Tekstilshtik
1 : 0
Arsenal Tula
05 Sept
Ulyanovsk
3 : 0
Arsenal Tula
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S. Kostroma

(Away)
26 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 2
Ural
18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1
S. Kostroma
14 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 0
Neftekhimik
08 Sept
Ryazan
0 : 2
S. Kostroma
05 Sept
Chelyabinsk
0 : 1
S. Kostroma
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