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Arsenal Tula vs S. Kostroma

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Trialist D
66' Event
Bogdanets K.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Arsenal Tula and S. Kostroma finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Arsenal Tula
28%
Draws
22%
S. Kostroma
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Arsenal Tula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • S. Kostroma carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Arsenal Tula's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Arsenal Tula Clean Sheet 17%
S. Kostroma Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Tula S. Kostroma
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 6 7
Draws 9 11
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Arsenal Tula vs S. Kostroma
1:1
Apr 25, 2026 FNL
S. Kostroma vs Arsenal Tula
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 FNL
Arsenal Tula vs S. Kostroma
1:2
Oct 31, 2006 FNL 2 - Group 2
S. Kostroma vs Arsenal Tula
2:0
Jul 23, 2006 FNL 2 - Group 2
Arsenal Tula vs S. Kostroma
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal Tula Compare

Top Goalscorer Bogdanets K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

S. Kostroma Compare

Top Goalscorer Trialist D
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Tula 48 / 100
S. Kostroma 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Tula S. Kostroma

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

S. Kostroma let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Arsenal Tula found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (26 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Arsenal Tula has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Tula VS S. Kostroma
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%