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Arsenal Tula vs S. Kostroma

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Trialist D
66' Event
Bogdanets K.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Arsenal Tula and S. Kostroma finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Arsenal Tula
30%
Draws
34%
S. Kostroma
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arsenal Tula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • S. Kostroma carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Arsenal Tula's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Arsenal Tula Clean Sheet 19%
S. Kostroma Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Tula S. Kostroma
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 11
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Arsenal Tula vs S. Kostroma
1:1
Apr 25, 2026 FNL
S. Kostroma vs Arsenal Tula
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 FNL
Arsenal Tula vs S. Kostroma
1:2
Oct 31, 2006 FNL 2 - Group 2
S. Kostroma vs Arsenal Tula
2:0
Jul 23, 2006 FNL 2 - Group 2
Arsenal Tula vs S. Kostroma
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal Tula Compare

Top Goalscorer Bogdanets K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

S. Kostroma Compare

Top Goalscorer Trialist D
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Tula 36 / 100
S. Kostroma 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Tula S. Kostroma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Tula scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: S. Kostroma conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Arsenal Tula has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Tula VS S. Kostroma
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal Tula

(Home)
19 Jul
Arsenal Tula
0 : 1
Neftekhimik
13 Jul
Arsenal Tula
2 : 1
Tekstilshtik
04 Jul
CSKA Moscow
1 : 1
Arsenal Tula
26 Jun
PFC Sochi
3 : 3
Arsenal Tula
21 Jun
Arsenal Tula
1 : 1
S. Kostroma
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S. Kostroma

(Away)
19 Jul
PFC Sochi
0 : 2
S. Kostroma
12 Jul
S. Kostroma
3 : 1
Kamaz
03 Jul
Lokomotiv Moscow
2 : 0
S. Kostroma
02 Jul
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0
S. Kostroma
28 Jun
S. Kostroma
1 : 1
Ulyanovsk
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