Sport Picks
Arsenal Tula vs Torpedo Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
FNL Stadion Arsenal, Tula 
Match Events
8'
8'
Sub
Moskvichev V. In: Orekhov A.
Out: Moskvichev V.
38'
38'
Penchikov D.
46'
46'
Sub
Bozov N. In: Roganovic B.
Out: Bozov N.
AI Match Summary
Arsenal Tula in this FNL matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arsenal Tula.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Torpedo Moscow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Arsenal Tula haven't matched Torpedo Moscow's recent run of results.
- Torpedo Moscow are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Arsenal Tula Clean Sheet 11%
Torpedo Moscow Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arsenal Tula | Torpedo Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 17 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.04 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2026 FNL
Arsenal Tula vs Torpedo Moscow
1:0
Apr 12, 2026 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs Arsenal Tula
1:1
Oct 11, 2025 FNL
Arsenal Tula vs Torpedo Moscow
2:2
Mar 30, 2025 FNL
Arsenal Tula vs Torpedo Moscow
0:1
Sep 9, 2024 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs Arsenal Tula
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arsenal Tula Compare
Top Goalscorer Penchikov D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Torpedo Moscow Compare
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arsenal Tula 18 / 100
Torpedo Moscow 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arsenal Tula Torpedo Moscow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Torpedo Moscow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arsenal Tula scored in 64% of their last 28 games.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Torpedo Moscow let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.
Solid form: Arsenal Tula remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Arsenal Tula VS Torpedo Moscow
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Arsenal Tula
(Home) 17 Oct
Ufa
2 : 0 Arsenal Tula
09 Oct
Arsenal Tula
3 : 2 S. Kostroma
04 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 1 Arsenal Tula
26 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 2 Arsenal Tula
16 Sept
Yenisey
3 : 1 Arsenal Tula
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Arsenal Tula
3 : 2 S. Kostroma
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2 SKA Khabarovsk
29 Aug
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2 Ural
20 Aug
Arsenal Tula
2 : 1 R. Volgograd
02 Aug
Arsenal Tula
1 : 0 Torpedo Moscow
Page 1 of 3
Torpedo Moscow
(Away) 17 Oct
Yenisey
1 : 2 Torpedo Moscow
10 Oct
Leningradets
1 : 3 Torpedo Moscow
03 Oct
Zhodino
1 : 2 Torpedo Moscow
27 Sept
Ufa
0 : 0 Torpedo Moscow
17 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 1 Veles Moscow
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Yenisey
1 : 2 Torpedo Moscow
10 Oct
Leningradets
1 : 3 Torpedo Moscow
03 Oct
Zhodino
1 : 2 Torpedo Moscow
27 Sept
Ufa
0 : 0 Torpedo Moscow
10 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 0 Torpedo Moscow
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 43:15 | 37 |
| 2 | PFC Sochi | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 23:14 | 29 |
| 3 | Torpedo Moscow | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 26:11 | 27 |
| 4 | Veles Moscow | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 20:18 | 27 |
| 5 | S. Kostroma | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20:13 | 27 |
| 6 | Ural | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22:10 | 25 |
| 7 | Ufa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 18:14 | 21 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 18:14 | 20 |
| 9 | R. Volgograd | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22:17 | 18 |
| 10 | Ulyanovsk | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 11 | Arsenal Tula | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15:26 | 16 |
| 12 | Chelyabinsk | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18:23 | 15 |
| 13 | Yenisey | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16:27 | 14 |
| 14 | Kamaz | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16:23 | 13 |
| 15 | Leningradets | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11:25 | 13 |
| 16 | Neftekhimik | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 10:21 | 12 |
| 17 | Tekstilshtik | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10:22 | 10 |
| 18 | SKA Khabarovsk | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15:28 | 7 |
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