Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arsenal U19 vs Bayern U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 Meadow Park, Borehamwood
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Gashi Y.
29'
Lambe A.
38' Event
Dowman M.
Assist: Thompson K.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 game between Arsenal U19 and Bayern U19 finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arsenal U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Arsenal U19
15%
Draws
61%
Bayern U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bayern U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Bayern U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Bayern U19 taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).
  • History favors Arsenal U19 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Arsenal U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Bayern U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal U19 Bayern U19
Matches Played 32 37
Wins 8 18
Draws 7 5
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.25 2.54
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.95
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 26, 2025 UEFA Youth League
Arsenal U19 vs Bayern U19
4:2
Nov 4, 2015 UEFA Youth League
Bayern U19 vs Arsenal U19
1:1
Oct 20, 2015 UEFA Youth League
Arsenal U19 vs Bayern U19
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dowman M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Thompson K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Bayern U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gashi Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Puljic L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal U19 10 / 100
Bayern U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal U19 Bayern U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayern U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bayern U19 conceded in 81% of 37 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Arsenal U19 scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Arsenal U19 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal U19 VS Bayern U19
2 Goals Scored 3
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal U19

(Home)
09 Sept
Napoli U19
1 : 2
Arsenal U19
10 Dec
Club Brugge U19
2 : 1
Arsenal U19
26 Nov
Arsenal U19
4 : 2
Bayern U19
04 Nov
Slavia Prague U19
5 : 1
Arsenal U19
21 Oct
Arsenal U19
3 : 4
Atl. Madrid U19
Page 1 of 7

Bayern U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Duisburg U19
0 : 4
Bayern U19
13 Sept
Munich 1860 U19
1 : 3
Bayern U19
10 Sept
Bayern U19
6 : 1
Bodo/Glimt U19
29 Aug
Bayern U19
4 : 2
Ingolstadt U19
23 Aug
Bayern U19
3 : 1
Ingolstadt U19
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U19 6 5 1 0 23:9 16
2 Benfica U19 6 5 0 1 26:7 15
3 Club Brugge U19 6 5 0 1 11:3 15
4 Real Madrid U19 6 5 0 1 14:7 15
5 Villarreal U19 6 5 0 1 12:7 15
6 Ath Bilbao U19 6 4 2 0 17:7 14
7 Atl. Madrid U19 6 4 1 1 16:8 13
8 Barcelona U19 6 4 1 1 13:9 13
9 Tottenham U19 6 4 0 2 28:14 12
10 Manchester City U19 6 4 0 2 18:8 12
11 Dortmund U19 6 4 0 2 13:8 12
12 Sporting CP U19 6 3 3 0 13:10 12
13 PSG U19 6 3 2 1 17:8 11
14 Inter U19 6 3 2 1 14:8 11
15 Ajax U19 6 3 1 2 24:16 10
16 Liverpool U19 6 3 1 2 8:13 10
17 Leverkusen U19 6 3 1 2 9:16 10
18 Monaco U19 6 3 0 3 20:10 9
19 PSV U19 6 2 2 2 13:9 8
20 Slavia Prague U19 6 2 2 2 16:17 8
21 Eintracht Frankfurt U19 6 2 1 3 15:13 7
22 Marseille U19 6 2 1 3 12:11 7
23 FC Copenhagen U19 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
24 Olympiacos Piraeus U19 6 2 1 3 8:10 7
25 Napoli U19 6 1 3 2 3:6 6
26 Juventus U19 6 1 2 3 12:11 5
27 Bayern U19 6 1 1 4 10:16 4
28 Kairat Almaty U19 6 1 1 4 8:15 4
29 Atalanta U19 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
30 Pafos U19 6 1 1 4 5:15 4
31 Royale Union SG U19 6 1 1 4 7:18 4
32 Galatasaray U19 6 1 1 4 6:21 4
33 Arsenal U19 6 1 0 5 11:18 3
34 Newcastle Utd U19 6 0 0 6 6:17 0
35 Bodo/Glimt U19 6 0 0 6 4:31 0
36 Qarabag Agdam U19 6 0 0 6 1:30 0
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)