Sport Picks
Arsenal U21 vs Burnley U21
England
Premier League 2 2025/2026 Meadow Park, Borehamwood 
Match Events
44'
44'
Agyei E.
46'
46'
Sub
Agyei E. In: Johnson Z.
Out: Agyei E.
61'
61'
Sub
Egan-Riley R. In: Stanley M.
Out: Egan-Riley R.
AI Match Summary
Arsenal U21 in this Premier League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arsenal U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
30%
35%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Burnley U21 at 1.5 per game, Arsenal U21 at 1.37.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Arsenal U21 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Arsenal U21 Clean Sheet 13%
Burnley U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arsenal U21 | Burnley U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 23, 2026 Premier League 2
Arsenal U21 vs Burnley U21
1:0
Jan 31, 2023 Premier League Cup
Arsenal U21 vs Burnley U21
2:3
Sep 23, 2022 Premier League Cup
Burnley U21 vs Arsenal U21
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arsenal U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Bailey-Joseph B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Burnley U21 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arsenal U21 31 / 100
Burnley U21 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arsenal U21 Burnley U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Burnley U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arsenal U21 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).
Burnley U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.
Solid form: Arsenal U21 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Arsenal U21 VS Burnley U21
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Arsenal U21
(Home) 18 Sept
Birmingham U21
0 : 0 Arsenal U21
15 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 2 Arsenal U21
12 Sept
Arsenal U21
1 : 4 Chelsea U21
31 Aug
Brighton U21
2 : 2 Arsenal U21
22 Aug
Arsenal U21
1 : 1 Crystal Palace U21
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Arsenal U21
1 : 4 Chelsea U21
22 Aug
Arsenal U21
1 : 1 Crystal Palace U21
04 Apr
Arsenal U21
1 : 0 West Brom U21
13 Mar
Arsenal U21
1 : 5 Leicester U21
27 Feb
Arsenal U21
0 : 1 Ipswich U21
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Burnley U21
(Away) 18 Sept
Burnley U21
4 : 1 Derby U21
14 Sept
Nottingham U21
1 : 0 Burnley U21
08 Sept
Fleetwood Town U21
1 : 2 Burnley U21
28 Aug
Burnley U21
1 : 3 Reading U21
21 Aug
Fulham U21
4 : 3 Burnley U21
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Nottingham U21
1 : 0 Burnley U21
08 Sept
Fleetwood Town U21
1 : 2 Burnley U21
21 Aug
Fulham U21
4 : 3 Burnley U21
14 Aug
Wolves U21
2 : 0 Burnley U21
14 May
Sunderland U21
1 : 2 Burnley U21
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea U21 | 20 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 52:25 | 43 |
| 2 | Manchester United U21 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 43:26 | 43 |
| 3 | Manchester City U21 | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 59:21 | 40 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 48:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Ipswich U21 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 45:45 | 38 |
| 6 | Southampton U21 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 36:29 | 36 |
| 7 | Liverpool U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 49:36 | 35 |
| 8 | Tottenham U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 42:32 | 35 |
| 9 | Leicester U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 48:42 | 31 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 36:31 | 31 |
| 11 | Aston Villa U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 32:35 | 31 |
| 12 | Brighton U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 38:25 | 30 |
| 13 | West Ham U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 44:35 | 30 |
| 14 | Arsenal U21 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28:33 | 29 |
| 15 | Sunderland U21 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 41:40 | 28 |
| 16 | Middlesbrough U21 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 37:28 | 27 |
| 17 | Nottingham U21 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 23:23 | 26 |
| 18 | Everton U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33:36 | 25 |
| 19 | Reading U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:36 | 25 |
| 20 | Stoke City U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:42 | 25 |
| 21 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 30:35 | 24 |
| 22 | Wolves U21 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 30:45 | 23 |
| 23 | Norwich U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 32:42 | 20 |
| 24 | Derby U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 26:44 | 20 |
| 25 | Leeds U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 28:40 | 18 |
| 26 | West Brom U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 26:41 | 18 |
| 27 | Birmingham U21 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 26:52 | 17 |
| 28 | Blackburn U21 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 27:46 | 14 |
| 29 | Burnley U21 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 22:42 | 13 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Professional Development League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
