Sport Picks
Arsenal U21 vs Newcastle Utd U21
England
Premier League 2 2025/2026 Meadow Park, Borehamwood 
Match Events
11'
11'
Miley M.
46'
46'
Sub
Park Seung-soo In: Mills M.
Out: Park Seung-soo
46'
46'
Sub
Salmon M. In: Dixon J.
Out: Salmon M.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2 2025/2026 game between Arsenal U21 and Newcastle Utd U21 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arsenal U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arsenal U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Arsenal U21 come out ahead of Newcastle Utd U21 on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Arsenal U21's way, sitting at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Arsenal U21 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Arsenal U21 Clean Sheet 14%
Newcastle Utd U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arsenal U21 | Newcastle Utd U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 13, 2026 Premier League 2
Arsenal U21 vs Newcastle Utd U21
1:0
Apr 25, 2025 Premier League 2
Arsenal U21 vs Newcastle Utd U21
2:1
Feb 21, 2025 Premier League 2
Arsenal U21 vs Newcastle Utd U21
4:1
Apr 8, 2016 Premier League U21
Arsenal U21 vs Newcastle Utd U21
3:1
Sep 11, 2015 Premier League U21
Newcastle Utd U21 vs Arsenal U21
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arsenal U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Harriman-Annous A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Newcastle Utd U21 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arsenal U21 41 / 100
Newcastle Utd U21 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arsenal U21 Newcastle Utd U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arsenal U21 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Newcastle Utd U21 conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Arsenal U21 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Arsenal U21 VS Newcastle Utd U21
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Arsenal U21
(Home) 18 Sept
Birmingham U21
0 : 0 Arsenal U21
15 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 2 Arsenal U21
12 Sept
Arsenal U21
1 : 4 Chelsea U21
31 Aug
Brighton U21
2 : 2 Arsenal U21
22 Aug
Arsenal U21
1 : 1 Crystal Palace U21
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Arsenal U21
1 : 4 Chelsea U21
22 Aug
Arsenal U21
1 : 1 Crystal Palace U21
04 Apr
Arsenal U21
1 : 0 West Brom U21
13 Mar
Arsenal U21
1 : 5 Leicester U21
27 Feb
Arsenal U21
0 : 1 Ipswich U21
Page 1 of 3
Newcastle Utd U21
(Away) 22 Sept
Bradford City
2 : 1 Newcastle Utd U21
19 Sept
Leeds U21
2 : 0 Newcastle Utd U21
15 Sept
York City
1 : 3 Newcastle Utd U21
08 Sept
Boreham Wood
2 : 1 Newcastle Utd U21
31 Aug
Newcastle Utd U21
0 : 4 Fulham U21
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Bradford City
2 : 1 Newcastle Utd U21
19 Sept
Leeds U21
2 : 0 Newcastle Utd U21
15 Sept
York City
1 : 3 Newcastle Utd U21
08 Sept
Boreham Wood
2 : 1 Newcastle Utd U21
18 Aug
Tamworth
5 : 3 Newcastle Utd U21
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea U21 | 20 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 52:25 | 43 |
| 2 | Manchester United U21 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 43:26 | 43 |
| 3 | Manchester City U21 | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 59:21 | 40 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 48:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Ipswich U21 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 45:45 | 38 |
| 6 | Southampton U21 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 36:29 | 36 |
| 7 | Liverpool U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 49:36 | 35 |
| 8 | Tottenham U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 42:32 | 35 |
| 9 | Leicester U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 48:42 | 31 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 36:31 | 31 |
| 11 | Aston Villa U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 32:35 | 31 |
| 12 | Brighton U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 38:25 | 30 |
| 13 | West Ham U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 44:35 | 30 |
| 14 | Arsenal U21 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28:33 | 29 |
| 15 | Sunderland U21 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 41:40 | 28 |
| 16 | Middlesbrough U21 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 37:28 | 27 |
| 17 | Nottingham U21 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 23:23 | 26 |
| 18 | Everton U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33:36 | 25 |
| 19 | Reading U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:36 | 25 |
| 20 | Stoke City U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:42 | 25 |
| 21 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 30:35 | 24 |
| 22 | Wolves U21 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 30:45 | 23 |
| 23 | Norwich U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 32:42 | 20 |
| 24 | Derby U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 26:44 | 20 |
| 25 | Leeds U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 28:40 | 18 |
| 26 | West Brom U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 26:41 | 18 |
| 27 | Birmingham U21 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 26:52 | 17 |
| 28 | Blackburn U21 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 27:46 | 14 |
| 29 | Burnley U21 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 22:42 | 13 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Professional Development League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
