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Arsenal vs Fulham

England England

Premier League 2025/2026 Emirates Stadium, London
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Gyökeres V.
Assist: Saka B.
23'
Lukic S.
29'
Calafiori R.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Arsenal and Fulham finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arsenal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Arsenal
28%
Draws
22%
Fulham
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Arsenal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Arsenal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Arsenal's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Arsenal Clean Sheet 20%
Fulham Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Fulham
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 18 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Premier League
Arsenal vs Fulham
3:0
Oct 18, 2025 Premier League
Fulham vs Arsenal
0:1
Apr 1, 2025 Premier League
Arsenal vs Fulham
2:1
Dec 8, 2024 Premier League
Fulham vs Arsenal
1:1
Dec 31, 2023 Premier League
Fulham vs Arsenal
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal Compare

Top Goalscorer Gyökeres V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Saka B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Fulham Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal 49 / 100
Fulham 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Fulham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

Fulham let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Arsenal stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal VS Fulham
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal

(Home)
30 May
PSG
2 : 1
Arsenal
24 May
Crystal Palace
1 : 2
Arsenal
18 May
Arsenal
1 : 0
Burnley
10 May
West Ham
0 : 1
Arsenal
05 May
Arsenal
1 : 0
Atl. Madrid
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Fulham

(Away)
28 Jul
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1
Fulham
25 Jul
Fulham
0 : 2
Norwich
24 May
Fulham
2 : 0
Newcastle Utd
17 May
Wolves
1 : 1
Fulham
09 May
Fulham
0 : 1
Bournemouth
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal38267571:2785
2Manchester City38239677:3578
3Manchester United382011769:5071
4Aston Villa381981156:4965
5Liverpool381791263:5360
6Bournemouth381318758:5457
7Sunderland3814121242:4854
8Brighton3814111352:4653
9Brentford3814111355:5253
10Chelsea3814101458:5252
11Fulham381571647:5152
12Newcastle Utd381471753:5549
13Everton3813101547:5049
14Leeds3811141349:5647
15Crystal Palace3811121541:5145
16Nottingham3811111648:5144
17Tottenham3810111748:5741
18West Ham381091946:6539
19Burnley384102438:7522
20Wolves383112427:6820
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)