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Arsenal W vs Everton W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

WSL 2025/2026 Emirates Stadium, London
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Kramzar Z.
32'
Wheeler C.
64'
Sub
Snoeijs K. In: Vignola O.
Out: Snoeijs K.

AI Match Summary

The WSL 2025/2026 game between Arsenal W and Everton W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arsenal W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Arsenal W
20%
Draws
56%
Everton W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Everton W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Arsenal W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 56% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Arsenal W Clean Sheet 20%
Everton W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal W Everton W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 21 15
Draws 4 2
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2.29 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 WSL
Arsenal W vs Everton W
1:0
Dec 13, 2025 WSL
Everton W vs Arsenal W
1:3
Mar 14, 2025 WSL
Everton W vs Arsenal W
1:3
Oct 6, 2024 WSL
Arsenal W vs Everton W
0:0
Apr 28, 2024 WSL
Everton W vs Arsenal W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal W Compare

Top Goalscorer Blackstenius S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Everton W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal W 32 / 100
Everton W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal W Everton W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Everton W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal W found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Everton W has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Arsenal W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal W VS Everton W
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.25
38% Over 1.5 13%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal W

(Home)
04 Oct
Manchester City W
4 : 2
Arsenal W
30 Sept
Paris FC W
2 : 2
Arsenal W
27 Sept
Chelsea W
1 : 0
Arsenal W
22 Sept
Arsenal W
1 : 0
Koge W
19 Sept
Arsenal W
1 : 1
Manchester United W
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Everton W

(Away)
04 Oct
Everton W
2 : 1
Birmingham W
27 Sept
Liverpool W
2 : 0
Everton W
23 Sept
Everton W
2 : 0
Birmingham W
20 Sept
West Ham W
0 : 1
Everton W
13 Sept
Everton W
1 : 0
Charlton W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City W 22 18 1 3 62:19 55
2 Arsenal W 22 15 6 1 53:14 51
3 Chelsea W 22 15 4 3 44:20 49
4 Manchester United W 22 11 7 4 38:22 40
5 Tottenham W 22 11 3 8 35:38 36
6 London City Lionesses W 22 8 3 11 28:35 27
7 Brighton W 22 7 5 10 27:28 26
8 Everton W 22 7 2 13 25:37 23
9 Aston Villa W 22 5 5 12 28:48 20
10 West Ham W 22 5 4 13 20:45 19
11 Liverpool W 22 4 5 13 21:34 17
12 Leicester W 22 2 3 17 11:52 9
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - Third stage)
Relegation - WSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)